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Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd (1955) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$260M

HK Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd 1955 · HK
PriceHK$0.6200
Fair ValueHK$0.1000
Upside-83.9%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.19% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.0600 – HK$0.1300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +21.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 84% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0600 to HK$0.1300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.32 HK$0.2434 Fair Value HK$0.1000 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2434 – HK$1.32 · fair‑value band HK$0.0600 – HK$0.1300 · the HK$0.6200 price screens above the HK$0.1000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd (1955) currently trades at HK$0.6200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 83.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$3.4B at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 60.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$232M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0600 (bear case) to HK$0.1300 (bull case); at HK$0.6200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -84%, 1955 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (HK$0.0700 to HK$1.58). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$0.7300 HK$0.6600 HK$0.3800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.7300 HK$0.7400 HK$0.7500 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 54
Lynch FV HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 46
EPV HK$0.7300 HK$0.7400 HK$0.7500 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.8500 HK$0.9200 HK$1.00 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.34 HK$1.58 HK$1.82 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.7800 HK$0.8500 HK$0.9200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6000 HK$0.8100 HK$1.21 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.7300 HK$0.6600 HK$0.3800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.7300 HK$0.7400 HK$0.7500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.8100) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +60.6%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 0.3%
Free cash flow −HK$111M FY2025
Operating margin -0.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -22.6%
Net cash HK$232M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the provision of cleaning, janitorial, and other related services for government and non-government sector in Hong Kong.

Full company description

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the provision of cleaning, janitorial, and other related services for government and non-government sector in Hong Kong. The company offers building and campus cleaning, park and recreation center cleaning, street cleaning, disinfection services, pest management, and environment improvement services. It also provides garbage logistics and security guarding services. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.4B in FY2026 versus HK$3.0B in FY2022, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.0M in FY2026, compounding −64.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$3.4B
Latest YoY
+84.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY22 HK$3.0B
FY23 HK$2.3B
FY24 HK$1.6B
FY25 HK$1.8B
FY26 HK$3.4B
Net income −64.6%/yr
FY22 HK$130M
FY23 HK$30.6M
FY24 HK$17.3M
FY25 HK$16.0M
FY26 HK$2.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) −12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.0 pp

of which total revenue +8.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −19.4 pp
Tax rate +0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

1955 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.1000 −84%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1955

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 249 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 61% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 100 · sector 25
PAST 1 · sector 34
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 4 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $205.28 $95.19 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $34.55 $32.24 -7%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$142.85 C$70.40 -51%
Copart, Inc CPRT $28.99 $28.59 -1%
Global Payments Inc GPN $88.53 $68.98 -22%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$120.52 C$49.14 -59%
Brambles Limited BXB A$19.89 A$12.28 -38%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $76.68 $33.62 -56%
Aramark ARMK $60.35 $13.18 -78%
ISS A/S ISS kr 288.20 kr 251.13 -13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd (1955) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1000 versus a price of HK$0.6200, about −84% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1955?
Our model-based fair value for Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.1000 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.6200.
What is the quality score of 1955?
Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd (1955)?
Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1955?
The net profit margin of Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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