Hainan Jingliang Holdings (200505) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap HK$1.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026 — revised from HK$10.43 to HK$1.48 (−85.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$1.71 – HK$2.31 · fair‑value band HK$1.03 – HK$1.94 · the HK$1.81 price screens above the HK$1.48 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Hainan Jingliang Holdings (200505) currently trades at HK$1.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.48 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hainan Jingliang Holdings generated revenue of HK$7.4B at a net margin of -3.7%. Revenue declined 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.0%. Net debt stands at HK$245M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.03 (bear case) to HK$1.94 (bull case); at HK$1.81, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside — at -18%, 200505 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in oils and oilseeds processing and trading, and food processing in China. The Company processes, refines, and markets, raw oils, such as soybean oil, corn oil, sunflower seed oil, peanut oil, rapeseed oil, flaxseed oil, olive oil, and sesame oil and paste under the Gu Chuan, Lv Bao, Gu Bi, and Huo Niao brands. It also offers bsnack food and bakery products, such as chips, pastries and bread under the Xiao Wangzi, Dong Xiaojie, Jianqiang de Tudouzai, and Gu Chuan brands. In addition, the company offers organic, microbial, and agricultural fertilizers; land consolidation; soil remediation; agricultural planting development, animal husbandry, and aquaculture; agricultural equipment; computer network technology; warehousing; investment management; commercial services; and animation and graphic design services, as well as leases self-owned premises, and import and export trade in goods and technology. Furthur, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hainan Jingliang Holdings reported revenue of HK$7.9B in FY2025 versus HK$11.8B in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$266M in FY2025.
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10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NSRGF | $98.25 | $65.41 | -33% |
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| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,121 | ₹1,374 | -73% |
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| ICBP ICBP | 6,250 IDR | 10,177 IDR | +63% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,000,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | +1% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹420.45 | ₹294.68 | -30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.