Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk stock IDR 11,873, price IDR 6,325, upside +87.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5,475 IDR – 12,021 IDR · fair‑value band 6,643 IDR – 17,304 IDR · the 6,325 IDR price screens below the 11,873 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk produces and sells food products in Indonesia, the rest of Asia, Africa, and internationally.
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It operates through six segments: Noodles Division, Dairy Division (dairy products), Food Seasonings Division, Snack Foods Division, Nutrition and Special Foods Division, and Beverages Division.
The company offers noodles, sauces, and instant seasonings under the Indomie, Supermi, Sarimi, Pop Mie, Sakura, and Mi Telur Cap 3 Ayam brands; sweetened condensed milk, liquid milk, powdered milk, ice cream, and butter under the Indomilk, Cap Enaak, Tiga Sapi, Kremer, Orchid Butter, Indofood Icecream, and Milkuat brands; chips and non-chips snacks, such as potato biscuits, cassavas, and wheat flour under the Chitato, Qtela, Chiki, Jetz, and Maxicorn brands; and food seasonings, including powdered and liquid seasonings, condiments, and syrups under the Sambal Indofood, Bumbu Special Indofood, Bumbu Racik, Indofood Freiss, and Kecap Indofood brands.
It also provides nutrition and special foods, such as baby cereals, follow-on cereals, noodle soups, and baby biscuits, as well as fortified milk for expectant and lactating mothers under the Promina, Govit, SUN, and Gowell brands; and beverages comprising ready-to-drink tea, packaged water, and fruit-flavored drinks under the Ichi Ocha, Club and Fruitamin brands.
In addition, the company manufactures packaging materials for beauty and personal care, food, beverage, fabric and home care, and household products; offers non-alcoholic beverages, management consulting, industrial estate, warehousing, and cold storage services; markets and distributes culinary products; processes oil and fats; manages restaurants; and markets and distributes paper diapers products.
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk was founded in 1982 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk.
Stock analysis
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) currently trades at 6,325 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,873 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 47% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 16,612 IDR per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the 6,325 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3,005 IDR, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 6,643 IDR (bear) to 17,304 IDR (bull), the price of 6,325 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk reported revenue of 74.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 56.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 9.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 73.8T IDR (≈ $4.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 8.9 · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) 710.00 IDR · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 10.0% · Return on equity 13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 88%, ICBP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear6,643 IDRFair Value 11,873 IDRBull17,304 IDR
Price 6,325 IDR · Upside +87.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (380.38 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.0% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.6% vs 11.9%, slowing
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.1% a year for the price and +3.0% for the forecasts.
Compare Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 627 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+87.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.5% · Above median
Return on assets6.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)10.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)23.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)21.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.90× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)8.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.43× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.89× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.7× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ICBP
Frequently asked questions
Is Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11,873 IDR versus a price of 6,325 IDR, about +88% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ICBP?
Our model-based fair value for Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 11,873 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6,325 IDR.
What is the quality score of ICBP?
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11,873 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6,643 IDR, optimistic scenario 17,304 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11,873 IDR, about +88% upside versus a price of 6,325 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6,643 IDR, optimistic scenario 17,304 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 83.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk pay a dividend?
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 4.19% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk pays a dividend of 265.00 IDR per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 7, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2011. The payout ratio is 37.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.74 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +2.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.9 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ICBP use?
Our models discount Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk that is +2.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk grew +9.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +2.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (+2.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.48 %: that much free cash flow Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk it is 11,873 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 6,325 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, ICBP trades below its calculated fair value: price 6,325 IDR, fair value 11,873 IDR, a gap of about +88% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ICBP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6,325 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11,873 IDR). For Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk the two are 5,548 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk worth?
The market values Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk at about 73.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 6,325 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 11,873 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ICBP?
Our models span a range for Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk: cautious scenario 6,643 IDR, base 11,873 IDR, optimistic 17,304 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 6,325 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ICBP?
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.9 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11,873 IDR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 22.1. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 4.8.
What is the PEG ratio of ICBP?
The PEG ratio of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 1.48 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 13.5%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ICBP from its 52-week high?
Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk trades at 6,325 IDR, about 24% below its 52-week high of 8,319 IDR and 16% above the low of 5,475 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11,873 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 6,325 IDR, calculated fair value 11,873 IDR (+88%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ICBP calculated?
We run Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 11,873 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk currently trades 47% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 6,325 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 11,873 IDR, about +88% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (6,643 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (6,643 IDR to 17,304 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) come from?
Earnings per share at Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk grew +10.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.4 %, EBIT margin +6.3 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The market capitalisation of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 73.8T IDR (≈ $4.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 0.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
Earnings per share at Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk are 710.00 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The dividend yield of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 4.2% (payout 37.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The net margin of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 10.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
The operating margin of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 23.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
Revenue at Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is growing +21.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)?
Earnings per share at Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk are growing +56.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP) carry?
The net debt of Indofood Cbp Sukses Makmur Tbk is 18.2T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 3, 2026