Smart-Core Holdings Ltd (2166) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$2.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −15.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$2.38 to HK$5.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.8302 – HK$6.54 · fair‑value band HK$2.38 – HK$5.95 · the HK$4.43 price screens above the HK$3.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Smart-Core Holdings Ltd (2166) currently trades at HK$4.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.39, implying the stock looks roughly 23.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Smart-Core Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$6.6B at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 87.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at HK$232M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$2.38 (bear case) to HK$5.95 (bull case); at HK$4.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 182% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -23%, 2166 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$7.34) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.45). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smart-Core Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes integrated circuits and other electronic components in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, Singapore, Japan, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Authorised Distribution and Mixed Distribution.
Full company description
Smart-Core Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes integrated circuits and other electronic components in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, Singapore, Japan, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Authorised Distribution and Mixed Distribution. The company offers SoC (System on Chip) chips; memory chips and modules comprising DRAM, NOR Flash, NAND Flash, MCP, KGD wafers, and enterprise-grade eSSDs; and core transmitter- and receiver-end chips and components for data communication optical modules. Its products are used in various applications, such as TV products, smart terminals, memory products, optoelectronic displays, communication, security monitoring, Internet of Things (IoT), optical communication, and others. The company also provides optical communication chips; engineering support; and chip supply chain assurance, customized technical solutions, and full-lifecycle technical support services. In addition, it operates an e-commerce platform. The company serves consumer electronic product manufacturing companies, original design manufacturers, and original equipment manufacturers in the electronic product industry. The company was formerly known as Smart-Core Cloud Group Limited and changed its name to Smart-Core Holdings Limited in August 2016. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong. Smart-Core Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Smart IC Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Smart-Core Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$6.6B in FY2025 versus HK$10.4B in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$161M in FY2025, compounding −6.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
2166 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with TD SYNNEX Corporation →
Peer Group
Electronics & Computer Distribution · 156 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX | $255.21 | $289.83 | +14% |
| Unisplendour Corporation 000938 | ¥39.60 | ¥16.52 | -58% |
| Rexel S.A RXL | €37.61 | €32.05 | -15% |
| Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW | $210.30 | $114.08 | -46% |
| Avnet, Inc AVT | $97.31 | $77.07 | -21% |
| WPG Holdings 3702 | 123.50 TWD | 148.26 TWD | +20% |
| Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 | ¥27.41 | ¥12.34 | -55% |
| Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 | ¥23.53 | ¥7.52 | -68% |
| Shenzhen H&T Intelligent Control Co. 002402 | ¥21.59 | ¥20.12 | -7% |
| Topco Scientific Co 5434 | 521.00 TWD | 473.70 TWD | -9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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