Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co SAR 186, price SAR 184, upside +1.1%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 128.11 SAR – 381.78 SAR · fair‑value band 125.74 SAR – 261.76 SAR · the 183.90 SAR price screens below the 185.87 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes dairy products, beverages, and various foodstuffs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Poland, Other Gulf countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Drinks, and Non"Drinks.
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Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes dairy products, beverages, and various foodstuffs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Poland, Other Gulf countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Drinks, and Non"Drinks. The company provides plain, functional, follow-on, and flavored milk; plant-based dairy alternatives, including oat, soy, almond, and coconut drinks; culinary products comprising tomato pastes, ketchup, mayonnaise, french fries, mezete, and cheese; ice cream products; and snacks, as well as frozen products, including sandwich, sticks, cones, bars, pushups, cups, and tubs. It offers its products under the Saudia, Sandwich, Baboo, Sensations, and Crispy brand names. The company also exports its products. Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270) currently trades at 183.90 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 185.87 SAR, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 276.63 SAR per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the 183.90 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 36.53 SAR, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 125.74 SAR (bear) to 261.76 SAR (bull), the price of 183.90 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co reported revenue of 3.0B SAR in FY2026 versus 2.2B SAR in FY2022, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was 477M SAR in FY2026, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 6.5B SAR (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 13.2 · P/S ratio 2.10 · EPS (TTM) 13.91 SAR · Dividend yield 8.4% · Net margin 15.9% · Return on equity 27.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 1%, 2270 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 125.74 SARFair Value 185.87 SARBull 261.76 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (7.01 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+21.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.9% vs 6.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 12%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.3% a year for the price and +5.6% for the forecasts.
Compare Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 644 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+1.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)27.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.4% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2270
Frequently asked questions
Is Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 185.87 SAR versus a price of 183.90 SAR, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2270?
Our model-based fair value for Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 185.87 SAR (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 183.90 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2270?
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 185.87 SAR (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 125.74 SAR, optimistic scenario 261.76 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 185.87 SAR, about +1% upside versus a price of 183.90 SAR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 125.74 SAR, optimistic scenario 261.76 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co pay a dividend?
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co would have to grow free cash flow by +7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2270 use?
Our models discount Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.05, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co that is +7.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies +7.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (+7.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.43 %: that much free cash flow Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co it is 185.87 SAR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 183.90 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2270 trades below its calculated fair value: price 183.90 SAR, fair value 185.87 SAR, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2270?
No. The price is what the market pays today (183.90 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (185.87 SAR). For Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co the two are 1.97 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co worth?
The market values Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co at about 6.5B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 183.90 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 185.87 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2270?
Our models span a range for Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co: cautious scenario 125.74 SAR, base 185.87 SAR, optimistic 261.76 SAR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 183.90 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2270?
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 185.87 SAR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 18.2. Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 13.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
Balance-sheet figures for Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 27.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2270 from its 52-week high?
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co trades at 183.90 SAR, about 36% below its 52-week high of 285.50 SAR and at the low of 183.90 SAR (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 185.87 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 183.90 SAR, calculated fair value 185.87 SAR (+1%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2270 calculated?
We run Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 185.87 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was 183.90 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 185.87 SAR, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (125.74 SAR to 261.76 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270) come from?
Earnings per share at Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co grew +8.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.2 %, EBIT margin +1.5 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The market capitalisation of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 6.5B SAR (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 2.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
Earnings per share at Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co are 13.91 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The dividend yield of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 8.4% (payout 111%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The net margin of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 15.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 27.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 14.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
The operating margin of Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
Revenue at Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270)?
Earnings per share at Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co are growing −34.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co (2270) hold?
Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff .Co holds more cash than debt, 394M SAR net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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