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Modern Mills Company (2284) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 2.4B SAR

MM Modern Mills Company 2284 · SR
Price29.22 SAR
Fair Value38.48 SAR
Upside+31.7%
Quality63/100
Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 21.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
6.90% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 89/100
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Evidence: High Range 19.10 SAR – 55.10 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +1.7% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (19.10 SAR to 55.10 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

34.42 SAR 24.67 SAR Fair Value 38.48 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 24.67 SAR – 34.42 SAR · fair‑value band 19.10 SAR – 55.10 SAR · the 29.22 SAR price screens below the 38.48 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Modern Mills Company (2284) currently trades at 29.22 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38.48 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Modern Mills Company generated revenue of 1.1B SAR at a net margin of 21.1%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 70.5%. Net debt stands at 739M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 19.10 SAR (bear case) to 55.10 SAR (bull case); at 29.22 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 32%, 2284 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin 21.1%
Return on equity 70.5%
Free cash flow 126M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 10.5
More key figures
Operating margin 27.0%
EPS (TTM) 2.76 SAR
Dividend yield 6.9%
Net debt 739M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100
Profitability 80
Quality Growth 53
Cashflow 52
Fin. Strength 38
Investment 40
Low Volatility 94
Momentum 42
52W Momentum 40
Net Issuance 82

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Modern Mills Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of flour, feed, and bran products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers flour under the QAMHATI, Modern Mills, and QOOT & ROOT brands. It also provides livestock, poultry, and bran animal feeds under the Premier brand.

Full company description

Modern Mills Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of flour, feed, and bran products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers flour under the QAMHATI, Modern Mills, and QOOT & ROOT brands. It also provides livestock, poultry, and bran animal feeds under the Premier brand. In addition, the company engages in wholesale and retail of flour. Modern Mills Company was founded in 1982 and is based in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Modern Mills Company reported revenue of 1.0B SAR in FY2025 versus 555M SAR in FY2021, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was 224M SAR in FY2025, compounding +29.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +17.2%/yr
FY21 555M SAR
FY22 978M SAR
FY23 939M SAR
FY24 1.0B SAR
FY25 1.0B SAR
Net income +29.5%/yr
FY21 79.5M SAR
FY22 233M SAR
FY23 202M SAR
FY24 209M SAR
FY25 224M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Modern Mills Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2284

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 76 / 27
FUTURE 32 / 21
PAST 100 / 28
HEALTH 23 / 96
DIVIDEND 100 / 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,386 ₹278.10 -80%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 75.60 TWD 55.53 TWD -27%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,121 ₹1,374 -73%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,131 ₹339.05 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,250 IDR 10,177 IDR +63%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,000,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW +1%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹420.45 ₹294.68 -30%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,900 VND 70,912 VND +20%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,850 IDR 2,719 IDR +47%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,300 IDR 4,821 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Modern Mills Company (2284) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38.48 SAR versus a price of 29.22 SAR, about +32% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2284?
Our model-based fair value for Modern Mills Company is 38.48 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 29.22 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2284?
Modern Mills Company has a Quality Score of 63/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Modern Mills Company (2284)?
Modern Mills Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2284?
The net profit margin of Modern Mills Company is about 21.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Modern Mills Company pay a dividend?
Modern Mills Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.90% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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