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Nofoth Food Products Company (2288) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 578M SAR

NF Nofoth Food Products Company 2288 · SR
Price6.21 SAR
Fair Value10.42 SAR
Upside+67.8%
Quality56/100
Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.61% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 69/100
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Evidence: High Range 7.37 SAR – 26.30 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −16.0% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (7.37 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (7.37 SAR to 26.30 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12.45 SAR 6.13 SAR Fair Value 10.42 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 6.13 SAR – 12.45 SAR · fair‑value band 7.37 SAR – 26.30 SAR · the 6.21 SAR price screens below the 10.42 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Nofoth Food Products Company (2288) currently trades at 6.21 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.42 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 67.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nofoth Food Products Company generated revenue of 425M SAR at a net margin of 12.0%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.5%. Net debt stands at 57.1M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 7.37 SAR (bear case) to 26.30 SAR (bull case); at 6.21 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 68%, 2288 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 425M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 12.0%
Return on equity 28.5%
Free cash flow 44.9M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 11.3
More key figures
Operating margin 12.9%
EPS (TTM) 0.5400 SAR
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -29.1%
Net debt 57.1M SAR FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100
Profitability 92
Quality Growth 53
Cashflow 52
Fin. Strength 82
Investment 30
Low Volatility 82
Momentum 6
52W Momentum 2
Net Issuance 86

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nofoth Food Products Company produces and sells bakery products in Saudi Arabia. It offers maamoul cookies and cakes under the Mamola brand; desserts with creamy fillings under the Qashtiya brand; stuffed vegetables, kibbeh, and Musakhan products under the Anaba brand; fried and baked dates stuffed with various flavors and fillings under the Golden Dates …

Full company description

Nofoth Food Products Company produces and sells bakery products in Saudi Arabia. It offers maamoul cookies and cakes under the Mamola brand; desserts with creamy fillings under the Qashtiya brand; stuffed vegetables, kibbeh, and Musakhan products under the Anaba brand; fried and baked dates stuffed with various flavors and fillings under the Golden Dates brand; and pastries and stuffed dishes under the Pinkish Bite brand. The company also provides pie, biscuits, folk and oriental sweets, and sugary sweets, including confectionery, caramel, toffee, and nougat; light transportation services; wholesale and export of used oil; and retail sale of nuts, coffee, spices, and perfumes. In addition, the company operates restaurants and dry fruit stores; engages in automated bread production; food service contracting; and handles road transport of refrigerated and frozen goods. Nofoth Food Products Company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nofoth Food Products Company reported revenue of 430M SAR in FY2025 versus 184M SAR in FY2021, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was 56.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +20.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +23.7%/yr
FY21 184M SAR
FY22 270M SAR
FY23 308M SAR
FY24 365M SAR
FY25 430M SAR
Net income +20.6%/yr
FY21 26.8M SAR
FY22 31.5M SAR
FY23 42.7M SAR
FY24 51.6M SAR
FY25 56.7M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nofoth Food Products Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2288

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 34
FUTURE 0 / 17
PAST 100 / 51
HEALTH 0 / 92
DIVIDEND 52 / 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$63.38 C$48.12 -24%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AHODF $41.10 $61.74 +50%
Tesco PLC TSCDF $6.50 $8.07 +24%
The Kroger Co KR $64.46 $26.18 -59%
Woolworths Group WOW A$38.32 A$13.76 -64%
Seven & i Holdings SVNDF $11.76 $15.18 +29%
George Weston Limited WN C$104.83 C$53.08 -49%
Coles Group COL A$23.73 A$12.76 -46%
CP ALL Public Company CVPUF $1.30 $1.61 +24%
Metro Inc MRU C$89.80 C$94.01 +5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nofoth Food Products Company (2288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.42 SAR versus a price of 6.21 SAR, about +68% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2288?
Our model-based fair value for Nofoth Food Products Company is 10.42 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6.21 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2288?
Nofoth Food Products Company has a Quality Score of 56/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Nofoth Food Products Company (2288)?
Nofoth Food Products Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 425M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2288?
The net profit margin of Nofoth Food Products Company is about 12.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nofoth Food Products Company pay a dividend?
Nofoth Food Products Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.61% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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