George Weston Limited (WN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$38.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from C$77.02 to C$63.61 (−17.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$79.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$33.27 – C$107.24 · fair‑value band C$47.70 – C$79.51 · the C$102.12 price screens above the C$63.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
George Weston Limited (WN) currently trades at C$102.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$63.61, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, George Weston Limited generated revenue of C$65.1B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. Net debt stands at C$18.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$47.70 (bear case) to C$79.51 (bull case); at C$102.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -38%, WN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$101.98) versus Asset-Based (C$9.38). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
George Weston Limited provides food and drug retailing, and financial services in Canada. The company operates in two segments, Loblaw Companies Limited (Loblaw) and Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (Choice Properties).
Full company description
George Weston Limited provides food and drug retailing, and financial services in Canada. The company operates in two segments, Loblaw Companies Limited (Loblaw) and Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (Choice Properties). The Loblaw segment provides grocery, corporate and franchise-owned retail food, and associate-owned drug stores, including in-store pharmacies, health care services, health and beauty products, apparel, and other general merchandise. This segment offers credit card and banking services, guaranteed investment certificates, loyalty program, insurance brokerage services, and telecommunication services. The Choice Properties segment owns, develops, and manages commercial and residential properties, which are leased to necessity-based tenants and logistics providers. The company markets its products under the Shoppers Drug Mart, Joe Fresh, President's Choice Bank, PC Financial, no name, Farmer's Market, T&T, Life Brand, and PC Optimum brands. The company was founded in 1882 and is based in Toronto, Canada. George Weston Limited is a subsidiary of Wittington Investments, Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
George Weston Limited reported revenue of C$64.5B in FY2025 versus C$53.7B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$1.1B in FY2025, compounding +27.6%/yr from FY2021.
WN screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Loblaw Companies Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- George Weston Limited Reports Adjusted Diluted Net Earnings Per Common Share Growth of 12.9% in the Second Quarter
- We Think George Weston's (TSE:WN) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative
- George Weston Limited Announces Normal Course Issuer Bid
- CIBC Lowers George Weston's Price Target By $10
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.38 SGD | +26% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
| Kesko Oyj KESKOA | €19.94 | €12.13 | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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