Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co (2408) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$2.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −29.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (7 months)
7‑month range HK$3.26 – HK$6.40 · fair‑value band HK$2.65 – HK$4.42 · the HK$3.26 price screens below the HK$3.54 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co (2408) currently trades at HK$3.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.54 — implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 46.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.6%. Net debt stands at HK$7.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$2.65 (bear case) to HK$4.42 (bull case); at HK$3.26, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside — at 9%, 2408 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the self-operated noodle restaurant and manages franchise operations in Mainland China. It also provides catering management service. The company operates under the brand name of Xiao Noodles. It serves restaurant customers, franchisees, and businesses requiring catering and supply chain solutions primarily in the PRC (People's Republic of China). The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Meet Xiaomian Catering Management Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co., Ltd. in September 2023. Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2025 versus HK$418M in FY2022, a compound +57.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$106M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.