Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co (2529) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$438M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from HK$9.33 to HK$7.00 (−25.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 150% undervalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$4.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$4.82 to HK$9.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range HK$1.85 – HK$3.04 · fair‑value band HK$4.82 – HK$9.81 · the HK$2.80 price screens below the HK$7.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co (2529) currently trades at HK$2.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.00, implying the stock looks roughly 150.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co generated revenue of HK$675M at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$352M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$4.82 (bear case) to HK$9.81 (bull case); at HK$2.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 150%, 2529 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$10.01) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.73). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 2529 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hollwin Urban Operation Service Group Co., Ltd. provides management services, urban services, and commercial operation services in China. The company offers property management services for public properties, commercial properties, residential properties, and value-added services.
Full company description
Hollwin Urban Operation Service Group Co., Ltd. provides management services, urban services, and commercial operation services in China. The company offers property management services for public properties, commercial properties, residential properties, and value-added services. It also provides urban services comprising landscaping and engineering, including landscape construction and engineering construction; lighting system operation, such as landscape lighting operation and functional lighting operation; parking lot operation, including operation and management of stand-alone public parking lots on the ground, underground, and under bridge; and municipal sanitation services, such as road cleaning, sweeping and upkeep, and cleaning of bus stops and signage, as well as collection and transportation of urban domestic waste. In addition, the company offers commercial property operation services to developers, owners, and tenants, including preliminary business planning, preliminary operation analysis, tenant recruitment, lease agreement formulation, opening guidance, and daily operation counselling. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Changsha, China. Hollwin Urban Operation Service Group Co., Ltd is a subsidiary of Changsha Urban Development Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co reported revenue of HK$675M in FY2025 versus HK$432M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$74.4M in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 2529: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 254 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $199.52 | $95.19 | -52% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | -7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$142.85 | C$70.40 | -51% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $28.99 | $28.59 | -1% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $88.53 | $68.98 | -22% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$120.52 | C$49.14 | -59% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$19.47 | A$17.27 | -11% |
| ISS A/S ISS | kr 288.20 | kr 251.13 | -13% |
| Xiamen C&D Inc 600153 | ¥8.94 | ¥6.84 | -23% |
| BLS International Services Limited BLS | ₹267.60 | ₹269.29 | +1% |
Compare Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Discover undervalued stocks
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co (2529) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 2529?
What is the quality score of 2529?
What is the revenue of Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co (2529)?
What is the net profit margin of 2529?
Does Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Hollwin Urban Op Svc Grp Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.