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2613 (2613) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$1.2B

2 2613 2613 · HK
PriceHK$30.66
Fair ValueHK$5.91
Upside-80.7%
Quality44/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$2.55 – HK$5.91

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$37.02 HK$23.50 Fair Value HK$5.91 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$23.50 – HK$37.02 · fair‑value band HK$2.55 – HK$5.91 · the HK$30.66 price screens above the HK$5.91 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2613 (2613) currently trades at HK$30.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.91 — implying the stock looks roughly 80.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2613 generated revenue of HK$383M at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$94.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$383M
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.8%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow −HK$39.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 191.6
More key figures
Operating margin 9.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1800
EPS growth (YoY) -93.6%
Net cash HK$94.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2613 reported revenue of HK$373M in FY2025 versus HK$141M in FY2021, a compound +27.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$5.5M in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +27.7%/yr
FY21 HK$141M
FY22 HK$267M
FY23 HK$510M
FY24 HK$614M
FY25 HK$373M
Net income −19.0%/yr
FY21 HK$12.8M
FY22 HK$36.7M
FY23 HK$121M
FY24 HK$121M
FY25 HK$5.5M

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Similar stocks

6 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE C$46.59 C$22.78 -51%
RTX Corporation RTX $180.99 $102.41 -43%
The Boeing Company BCO €193.64 €48.20 -75%
Airbus SE EADSF $219.00 $130.77 -40%
Safran SA SAFRY $94.69 $58.09 -39%
Rolls-Royce Holdings RYCEY $18.79 $9.46 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2613 (2613) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.91 versus a price of HK$30.66 — about −81% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 2613?
Our model-based fair value for 2613 is HK$5.91 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$30.66.
What is the quality score of 2613?
2613 has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 2613 (2613)?
2613 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$383M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2613?
The net profit margin of 2613 is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.