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ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co HK$8.12, price HK$30.90, upside -73.7%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK

CE Broad data Sep 24, 2026

ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co

2613 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$8.12 · Strongly overvalued (−74%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +11.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$37.02 HK$23.50 Fair Value HK$8.12 Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range HK$23.50 – HK$37.02 · the HK$30.90 price screens above the HK$8.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Contiocean Environment Tech Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of various maritime environmental protection equipment and systems in the People's Republic of China.

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Contiocean Environment Tech Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of various maritime environmental protection equipment and systems in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Marine exhaust gas cleaning systems; Marine energy-saving devices; Marine clean-energy supply systems; and Maritime services segments. It offers marine exhaust gas cleaning systems to reduce sulfur emissions from ships and mitigate the impact of shipping on air quality; marine energy-saving devices to reduce fuel consumption for ships and lower the carbon emissions in maritime operations; and marine clean-energy supply systems, which assists ships to utilize clean energy to power their operation. The company also provides maritime services, such as ship accommodation interior design and construction; and container ship, and pure car and truck carrier lashing gears. In addition, it offers other maritime services, including provision of maritime equipment and spare parts comprising hydro blasting machines, hydroponic vegetable cabinets, etc.; personal protective equipment for crew members; improves onboard living environment and streamlines maritime operations; ship retrofitting and ship repair supervision; and ship cyber security solutions, etc. It serves shipowners and ship builders primarily in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Singapore, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613) currently trades at HK$30.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.12, implying the stock looks roughly 280.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of HK$16.55 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$30.90 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$2.02, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co reported revenue of 373M CNY in FY2025 versus 141M CNY in FY2021, a compound +27.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.2B (≈ $157M) · P/E ratio 191.6 · P/S ratio 2.82 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1800 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −74%, 2613 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$8.12 Fair Value HK$8.12 Bull HK$8.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1322 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings HK$9.96 HK$12.45 HK$16.25 75
EPV HK$10.54 HK$11.04 HK$11.44 74
Residual Income HK$7.79 HK$7.15 HK$4.53 73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$9.96 HK$12.45 HK$16.25 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.9600 HK$5.12 HK$7.09 61
Lynch FV HK$1.41 HK$2.02 HK$2.63 58
PEG = 1.0 HK$1.41 HK$2.02 HK$2.63 55
EPV HK$10.54 HK$11.04 HK$11.44 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$10.41 HK$17.44 HK$22.64 65
DDM Multi-Stage HK$10.41 HK$16.55 HK$18.77 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.21 HK$2.95 HK$3.69 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.79 HK$2.39 HK$2.99 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.79 HK$2.39 HK$2.99 55
EV/EBIT HK$14.62 HK$17.36 HK$20.10 66
EV/EBITDA HK$14.38 HK$17.04 HK$19.70 67
EV/Revenue HK$12.26 HK$14.78 HK$17.29 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$6.26 HK$8.39 HK$12.52 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$7.79 HK$7.15 HK$4.53 73
ROIC Compounder HK$10.54 HK$11.04 HK$11.44 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.08 HK$2.97 HK$3.87 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−39.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 22%

2613 screens 281% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 191.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.74× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 27.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)98 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

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10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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RTX Corporation RTX $190.99 $88.37 −54%
Airbus SE AIR €194.38 €112.14 −42%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $523.70 $439.62 −16%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $228.78 $52.47 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.33 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $514.42 $383.06 −26%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.21 $263.13 +10%
Thales S.A HO €232.20 €171.13 −26%

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ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co · Fair Value
HK$8.12 −281%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2613

Frequently asked questions

Is ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.12 versus a price of HK$30.90, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2613?
Our model-based fair value for ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is HK$8.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$30.90.
What is the quality score of 2613?
ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$8.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$8.12, about −74% upside versus a price of HK$30.90 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 383M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co pay a dividend?
ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co it is HK$8.12 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$30.90. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2613 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$30.90, fair value HK$8.12, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2613?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$30.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$8.12). For ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co the two are HK$22.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co worth?
The market values ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co at about HK$1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$30.90; our models calculate a fair value of HK$8.12 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 2613?
ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 191.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$8.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 27.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
Balance-sheet figures for ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2613 from its 52-week high?
ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co trades at HK$30.90, about 17% below its 52-week high of HK$37.02 and 15% above the low of HK$26.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$8.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$30.90, calculated fair value HK$8.12 (−74%), Quality Score 36/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2613 calculated?
We run ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$8.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$30.90. Our model-based fair value is HK$8.12, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$8.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co

How large is the market capitalisation of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
The market capitalisation of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is HK$1.2B (≈ $157M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is 2.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
Earnings per share at ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co are HK$0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 191.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
The dividend yield of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is 4.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
The net margin of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is 15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
The operating margin of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
Revenue at ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is growing −13.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613)?
Earnings per share at ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co are growing −93.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613) generate?
The free cash flow of ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co is −39.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co (2613) hold?
ContiOcean Envi Tech Grp Co holds more cash than debt, 94.7M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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