Newtree Co.Ltd (270870) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Newtree Co.Ltd KRW 10,935, price KRW 3,645, upside +200.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Newtree Co., Ltd. provides health and beauty products in South Korea, China, and the United States. It also offers raw materials, such as fingerroot extract powder, low molecular collagen peptide, licorice extract, ceylon moss, and aster spathulifolius. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Newtree Co.Ltd (270870) currently trades at 3,645 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10,935 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 17,079 KRW per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the 3,645 KRW price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7,733 KRW, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 7,953 KRW (bear) to 15,308 KRW (bull), the price of 3,645 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Newtree Co.Ltd reported revenue of 101B KRW in FY2025 versus 247B KRW in FY2021, a compound −20.0%/yr. Reported net income was −2.4B KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 42.2B KRW (≈ $31.0M) · P/S ratio 0.42 · Dividend yield 12.3% · Net margin −2.4% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% · Operating margin −0.1% · Revenue (TTM) 101B KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 200%, 270870 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 7,953 KRWFair Value 10,935 KRWBull 15,308 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.8% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.4% (2020) → −2.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)12.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Newtree Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/270870
Frequently asked questions
Is Newtree Co.Ltd (270870) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10,935 KRW versus a price of 3,645 KRW, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 270870?
Our model-based fair value for Newtree Co.Ltd is 10,935 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,645 KRW.
What is the quality score of 270870?
Newtree Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10,935 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7,953 KRW, optimistic scenario 15,308 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Newtree Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10,935 KRW, about +200% upside versus a price of 3,645 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 7,953 KRW, optimistic scenario 15,308 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
Newtree Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 101B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Newtree Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
Newtree Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Newtree Co.Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 270870 use?
Our models discount Newtree Co.Ltd at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Newtree Co.Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Newtree Co.Ltd (270870) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Newtree Co.Ltd grew -11.9 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Newtree Co.Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 32.16 %: that much free cash flow Newtree Co.Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Newtree Co.Ltd it is 10,935 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3,645 KRW. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Newtree Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 270870 trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,645 KRW, fair value 10,935 KRW, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 270870?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,645 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10,935 KRW). For Newtree Co.Ltd the two are 7,290 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Newtree Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Newtree Co.Ltd at about 42.2B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3,645 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 10,935 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 270870?
Our models span a range for Newtree Co.Ltd: cautious scenario 7,953 KRW, base 10,935 KRW, optimistic 15,308 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3,645 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
Balance-sheet figures for Newtree Co.Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 270870 from its 52-week high?
Newtree Co.Ltd trades at 3,645 KRW, about 26% below its 52-week high of 4,958 KRW and 14% above the low of 3,200 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10,935 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Newtree Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Newtree Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3,645 KRW, calculated fair value 10,935 KRW (+200%), Quality Score 56/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 270870 calculated?
We run Newtree Co.Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10,935 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Newtree Co.Ltd currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 3,645 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 10,935 KRW, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Newtree Co.Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (7,953 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (7,953 KRW to 15,308 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Newtree Co.Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The market capitalisation of Newtree Co.Ltd is 42.2B KRW (≈ $31.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Newtree Co.Ltd is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The dividend yield of Newtree Co.Ltd is 12.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The net margin of Newtree Co.Ltd is −2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Newtree Co.Ltd is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Newtree Co.Ltd is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
The operating margin of Newtree Co.Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
Revenue at Newtree Co.Ltd is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Newtree Co.Ltd (270870)?
Earnings per share at Newtree Co.Ltd are growing −48.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Newtree Co.Ltd (270870) carry?
The net debt of Newtree Co.Ltd is 223M KRW (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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