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Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co (300076) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.9B CNY

NG Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co 300076 · SHE
Price¥4.70
Fair Value¥1.26
Upside-73.2%
Quality41/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -52.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥0.8300 – ¥1.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥6.00 to ¥1.26 (−79.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.8300 to ¥1.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.17 ¥2.81 Fair Value ¥1.26 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.81 – ¥10.17 · fair‑value band ¥0.8300 – ¥1.57 · the ¥4.70 price screens above the ¥1.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co (300076) currently trades at ¥4.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.26, implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co generated revenue of 121M CNY at a net margin of -52.5%. Revenue grew 245.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 156M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8300 (bear case) to ¥1.57 (bull case); at ¥4.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -73%, 300076 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.00 ¥1.34 ¥2.00 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.00 ¥1.34 ¥2.00 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.34) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 121M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +245%
Net margin -52.5%
Return on equity -7.0%
Free cash flow −58.8M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -41.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1900
EPS growth (YoY) +389%
Net cash 156M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and manufacturing of large-screen splicing display systems in China.

Full company description

Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and manufacturing of large-screen splicing display systems in China. The company offers LED, DLP, and LCD splicing display units, as well as LED image display modules, commercial display, image processing system, and application software. It also provides product solutions, including information visualization; project renovation solutions; and industry solutions for public security system, traffic police system, fire protection system, rain transit, power system, oil and petrochemical, financial system, information and communication, water system, public utility, and mining. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Kaifeng, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co reported revenue of ¥82.5M in FY2025 versus ¥132M in FY2021, a compound −11.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥81.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
82.5M CNY
Latest YoY
−41.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.6%
Revenue −11.2%/yr
FY21 ¥132M
FY22 ¥163M
FY23 ¥135M
FY24 ¥141M
FY25 ¥82.5M
Net income
FY21 −¥7.9M
FY22 −¥16.0M
FY23 −¥20.2M
FY24 −¥56.7M
FY25 −¥81.2M

300076 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300076

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 526 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -53% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -41% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 245% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.35× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co (300076) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.26 versus a price of ¥4.70, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300076?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co is ¥1.26 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.70.
What is the quality score of 300076?
Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co (300076)?
Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 121M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300076?
The net profit margin of Ningbo GQY Video & Telecom Joint-Stock Co is about -52.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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