Xingyuan Environment Technology Co Ltd (300266) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.11 to ¥1.00 (−9.9%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +10.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.07 – ¥4.75 · fair‑value band ¥0.7200 – ¥1.28 · the ¥1.86 price screens above the ¥1.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Xingyuan Environment Technology Co Ltd (300266) currently trades at ¥1.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.00, implying the stock looks roughly 46.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xingyuan Environment Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 914M CNY at a net margin of -25.5%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -36.5%. Net debt stands at 2.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7200 (bear case) to ¥1.28 (bull case); at ¥1.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -46%, 300266 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥0.9500) versus Asset-Based (¥0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xingyuan Environment Technology Co., Ltd. operates in the environmental protection industry in China and internationally.
Full company description
Xingyuan Environment Technology Co., Ltd. operates in the environmental protection industry in China and internationally. It offers water treatment technologies for the urban water supply industry; develops municipal sewage treatment solutions; develops industrial wastewater treatment processes for the projects covering pulping and papermaking, food and yeast, textile printing and dyeing, pharmacy, chemical, metallurgy, and other fields; and sewage treatment technology systems. The company also provides products for the reuse of reclaimed water; filter products for use in chemical, metallurgy, petroleum, printing and dyeing, ceramics, food, pharmacy, building material, coal washing, mine, sewage treatment, and other industries; and integrated solutions to users on energy utilization analysis, metallurgy, chemical, light industry, food, textile printing and dyeing, etc. In addition, It provides landscape architecture services in the fields of river system, lake and reservoir, garden, road, square, green belt, etc.; mining land rehabilitation services; valley harnessing services; and reservoir environment governance services. The company was formerly known as Hangzhou Xingyuan Filter Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Xingyuan Environment Technology Co., Ltd. in February 2015. Xingyuan Environment Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xingyuan Environment Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥907M in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound −21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥227M in FY2025.
300266 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 818 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €275.55 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$33.09 | C$22.75 | -31% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 202.30 | kr 112.59 | -44% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹425.20 | ₹78.13 | -82% |
| Siemens Limited SIEMENS | ₹4,019 | ₹746.83 | -81% |
| Airtac International Group 1590 | 1,470 TWD | 853.70 TWD | -42% |
| Suzlon Energy Limited SUZLON | ₹47.35 | ₹26.64 | -44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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