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Sinocare Inc (300298) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 8.2B CNY

SI Sinocare Inc 300298 · SHE
Price¥16.35
Fair Value¥5.80
Upside-64.5%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.08 – ¥8.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥7.28 to ¥5.80 (−20.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥40.25 ¥13.38 Fair Value ¥5.80 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥13.38 – ¥40.25 · fair‑value band ¥5.08 – ¥8.23 · the ¥16.35 price screens above the ¥5.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinocare Inc (300298) currently trades at ¥16.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.80, implying the stock looks roughly 64.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinocare Inc generated revenue of 4.9B CNY at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 19.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 247M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.08 (bear case) to ¥8.23 (bull case); at ¥16.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -65%, 300298 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥11.71 ¥20.63 ¥37.64 80
Residual Income ¥4.02 ¥3.94 ¥3.32 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.88 ¥13.85 ¥22.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.35 ¥18.90 ¥38.43 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.46 ¥6.41 ¥12.37 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.88 ¥12.59 ¥21.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.79 ¥18.73 ¥33.53 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.21 ¥10.03 ¥14.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.00 ¥16.00 ¥22.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.22 ¥21.61 ¥40.86 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.02 ¥12.75 ¥20.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.13 ¥7.89 ¥11.07 54
Lynch FV ¥2.54 ¥3.63 ¥4.71 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.54 ¥3.63 ¥4.71 46
EPV ¥5.01 ¥5.63 ¥6.18 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.13 ¥4.25 ¥6.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.13 ¥3.67 ¥4.48 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.75 ¥3.66 ¥4.58 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.12 ¥2.83 ¥3.54 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.12 ¥2.83 ¥3.54 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.74 ¥9.97 ¥12.20 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.27 ¥13.35 ¥16.43 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.82 ¥7.87 ¥9.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.80 ¥3.75 ¥5.59 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.71 ¥20.63 ¥37.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.88 ¥13.85 ¥22.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.02 ¥3.94 ¥3.32 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.01 ¥5.70 ¥7.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.45 ¥4.93 ¥6.41 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥13.85) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.0%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 1.2%
Free cash flow 406M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 66.7
More key figures
Operating margin 10.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200
EPS growth (YoY) +38.2%
Net cash 247M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sinocare Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of rapid diagnosis testing products primarily in the People's Republic of China. It offers blood glucose and pressure monitors; point of care testing products; digital management tool solutions; non-invasive screening products; and PTS and Trividia products.

Full company description

Sinocare Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of rapid diagnosis testing products primarily in the People's Republic of China. It offers blood glucose and pressure monitors; point of care testing products; digital management tool solutions; non-invasive screening products; and PTS and Trividia products. The company provides its products for the patients with chronic diseases and diabetes, as well as for healthcare professionals. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Changsha, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinocare Inc reported revenue of ¥4.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥92.6M in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.2%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+33.3%
Revenue +18.5%/yr
FY21 ¥2.4B
FY22 ¥4.0B
FY23 ¥4.1B
FY24 ¥4.4B
FY25 ¥4.7B
Net income −3.7%/yr
FY21 ¥108M
FY22 ¥447M
FY23 ¥284M
FY24 ¥326M
FY25 ¥92.6M

300298 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinocare Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300298

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 66.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 95 · sector 27
PAST 5 · sector 8
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinocare Inc (300298) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.80 versus a price of ¥16.35, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300298?
Our model-based fair value for Sinocare Inc is ¥5.80 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥16.35.
What is the quality score of 300298?
Sinocare Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sinocare Inc (300298)?
Sinocare Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300298?
The net profit margin of Sinocare Inc is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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