Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co (300326) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 4.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥3.62 to ¥3.20 (−11.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.64 – ¥13.94 · fair‑value band ¥2.92 – ¥4.00 · the ¥6.14 price screens above the ¥3.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co (300326) currently trades at ¥6.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.20, implying the stock looks roughly 47.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co generated revenue of 869M CNY at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue declined 35.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 80.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.92 (bear case) to ¥4.00 (bull case); at ¥6.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -48%, 300326 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.70) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of medical devices in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of medical devices in China and internationally. The company offers invasive spinal, invasive vertebroplasty, radiofrequency ablation, orthopedic trauma implant equipment, artificial organs, orthopedic surgical instruments, and other medical products, as well as surgical energy platforms and consumables. It is also involved in the provision of cleaning and sterilization solutions for medical devices, equipment, and medical and sanitary materials and supplies; technical consultation; after-sales technical services; and production and sale of teaching aids. The company exports its products. Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co., Ltd was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co reported revenue of ¥963M in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥135M in FY2025, compounding −4.4%/yr from FY2021.
300326 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →
Peer Group
Medical Devices · 351 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott Laboratories, ABT | $100.68 | $74.79 | -26% |
| Stryker Corporation SYK | $316.44 | $186.28 | -41% |
| Medtronic plc MDT | $83.56 | $65.57 | -22% |
| Boston Scientific Corporation BSX | $43.04 | $38.44 | -11% |
| Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW | $85.73 | $41.02 | -52% |
| Siemens Healthineers AG SHL | €34.59 | €33.87 | -2% |
| Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 | ¥149.43 | ¥147.63 | -1% |
| Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 | ¥109.00 | ¥43.60 | -60% |
| Demant A/S DEMANT | kr 276.60 | kr 161.17 | -42% |
| Getinge AB GETIB | kr 206.80 | kr 192.14 | -7% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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