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Data-driven stock valuation

SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SVG Optronics Co Ltd stock ¥16.94, price ¥33.23, upside -49.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100001H35

SO SVG Optronics Co Ltd logo Some data Oct 26, 2026

SVG Optronics Co Ltd

300331 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 49% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 60/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.9 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Fair value ¥16.94 · Strongly overvalued (−49.0%)
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 20/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥72.86 ¥12.29 Fair Value ¥16.94 Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥12.29 – ¥72.86 · fair‑value band ¥16.68 – ¥17.14 · the ¥33.23 price screens above the ¥16.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

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Company profile

SVG Tech Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and industrial operations of optoelectronic materials and devices in the fields of information photonics and advanced displays in China.

Show moreShow less

It offers nano 3D printing materials, such as 3D optical printing materials, decorations for cell phone glass surface, decorative thermoprint films for vehicles, dynamic optical film AMOS, and anti-counterfeiting solutions for ID cards; and traffic reflective materials, including reflective films for license plates, vehicle body reflective markings, microprismatic reflective films, advertising level reflective films, and protective vests/reflective vests.

The company also provides optical direct writing and smart equipment, such as iGrapher UV large-scale 3D direct writing lithography, microlab research-type multi-functional lithography, MiScan efficient hybrid direct writing lithography, and holomarker and holoscan, as well as nanocrystal, a large-substrate nanolithography equipment.

In addition, it offers ultra-thin lighting displays, light guide plates for backlight modules, and front light guide plate; and capacitive touch modules, flexible nano-transparent conductive films, intelligent interactive terminals, and electromagnetic shielding films.

The company's products are used in micro-nano fabrication, display films and devices, advanced holographic packing and printing, optical security, micro-optics, and related fields.

SVG Tech Group Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as SVG Optronics Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SVG Tech Group Co.,Ltd. in June 2018. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.

Stock analysis

SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331) currently trades at ¥33.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.94, 49.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥7.08 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥33.23 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.54, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥16.68 (bear) to ¥17.14 (bull), the price of ¥33.23 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

SVG Optronics Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −18.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 8.6B CNY (≈ $1.3B) Small · P/S ratio 5.24 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.8% · Operating margin 6.4% · Revenue (TTM) 2.1B CNY.

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −49%, 300331 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.7300 to ¥12.22). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥16.68 Fair Value ¥16.94 Bull ¥17.14
Price ¥33.23 · Upside -49.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF ¥7.66 ¥11.21 ¥17.30 80
Growth DCF ¥7.49 ¥10.63 ¥14.97 79
Owner Earnings ¥4.55 ¥6.22 ¥8.76 77
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.66 ¥11.21 ¥17.30 80
Owner Earnings ¥4.55 ¥6.22 ¥8.76 77
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.67 ¥5.52 ¥6.47 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.76 ¥12.22 ¥17.96 75
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.85 ¥7.08 ¥8.70 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.61 ¥11.30 ¥17.12 68
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.50 ¥2.54 ¥2.57 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥1.01 ¥1.36 ¥1.70 66
EV/EBITDA ¥6.20 ¥8.27 ¥10.34 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.5000 ¥0.7300 ¥0.9500 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6200 ¥0.9400 ¥1.18 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.49 ¥10.63 ¥14.97 79
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.67 ¥5.60 ¥6.86 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.50 ¥2.54 ¥2.57 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 44
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 64
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 16
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 27
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 13
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.8% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.9% (2020) → 0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +39.0% a year for the price.

300331 screens overvalued: fair value 49% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 642 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.3% · Below median
Return on assets −0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 6.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.71× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.12× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow 63.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 68.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 63
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Amphenol Corporation APH $73.07 $80.38 +10% vs 300331
Yageo Corporation 2327 523.00 TWD 527.72 TWD +1% vs 300331
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 3,235 TWD 2,737 TWD −15% vs 300331
TE Connectivity plc TEL $214.09 $143.13 −33% vs 300331
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥118.99 ¥66.42 −44% vs 300331
Celestica Inc CLS $260.01 $109.91 −58% vs 300331
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥47.98 ¥18.44 −62% vs 300331
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,605 TWD 519.57 TWD −68% vs 300331
Corning Incorporated GLW $123.99 $33.79 −73% vs 300331
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,168,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −85% vs 300331

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SVG Optronics Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥16.94 −49%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SVG Optronics Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300331

Frequently asked questions

Is SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.94 versus a price of ¥33.23, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300331?
Our model-based fair value for SVG Optronics Co Ltd is ¥16.94 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥33.23.
What is the quality score of 300331?
SVG Optronics Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.94 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥16.68, optimistic scenario ¥17.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SVG Optronics Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.94, about −49% upside versus a price of ¥33.23 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥16.68, optimistic scenario ¥17.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
SVG Optronics Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
Does SVG Optronics Co Ltd pay a dividend?
SVG Optronics Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).
What growth is priced into SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SVG Optronics Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +41.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.9 % per year. As of Oct 26, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300331 use?
Our models discount SVG Optronics Co Ltd at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.40, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SVG Optronics Co Ltd that is +41.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SVG Optronics Co Ltd grew +7.9 % a year. The price currently implies +41.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SVG Optronics Co Ltd (+41.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.58 %: that much free cash flow SVG Optronics Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SVG Optronics Co Ltd it is ¥16.94 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of ¥33.23. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SVG Optronics Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, 300331 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥33.23, fair value ¥16.94, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300331?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥33.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.94). For SVG Optronics Co Ltd the two are ¥16.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SVG Optronics Co Ltd worth?
The market values SVG Optronics Co Ltd at about 8.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is ¥33.23; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300331?
Our models span a range for SVG Optronics Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥16.68, base ¥16.94, optimistic ¥17.14 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price ¥33.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
Balance-sheet figures for SVG Optronics Co Ltd (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300331 from its 52-week high?
SVG Optronics Co Ltd trades at ¥33.23, about 54% below its 52-week high of ¥72.86 and 13% above the low of ¥29.44 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SVG Optronics Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SVG Optronics Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price ¥33.23, calculated fair value ¥16.94 (−49%), Quality Score 60/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300331 calculated?
We run SVG Optronics Co Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SVG Optronics Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ¥33.23. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.94, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SVG Optronics Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥16.68 to ¥17.14), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of SVG Optronics Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The market capitalisation of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is 8.6B CNY (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is 5.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The dividend yield of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The net margin of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is 0.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is −4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
The operating margin of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
Revenue at SVG Optronics Co Ltd is growing −2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331)?
Earnings per share at SVG Optronics Co Ltd are growing +42.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SVG Optronics Co Ltd (300331) carry?
The net debt of SVG Optronics Co Ltd is 5.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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