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Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Energy · CN · ISIN CNE1000020Q4

CH Some data Sep 13, 2026

Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd

300471 · SHE

Stretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥4.12 · Strongly overvalued (−58%)
!Quality 60/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.7 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.1% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.7%
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥33.54 ¥7.12 Fair Value ¥4.12 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.12 – ¥33.54 · the ¥9.72 price screens above the ¥4.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Houpu Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd. provides clean energy equipment solutions in China and internationally.

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Houpu Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd. provides clean energy equipment solutions in China and internationally. The company offers unmanned and LNG containerized refueling installation systems, L-CNG and LNG skid mounted refueling systems, LNG and CNG dispensers, CNG and LNG dispenser calibrators, CNG and LNG station fuel management systems, and intelligent nozzle removal detection devices; and marine double wall pipes, mobile LNG bunkering stations, shore-based and barges LNG bunkering stations, and fuel gas supply systems. It also provides LNG gas supply skid of road tanker, LNG split-type gas supply skid, LNG complete integrated regasification skid, LNG cylinder regasification skids, LNG gasification station control systems, and LNG permanent regasification stations; and hydrogen unloading PSOT, sequence panels, hydrogen refueling stations and control systems, hydrogen dispensers, and hydrogen dispenser calibrators. In addition, the company offers marine ethylene glycol heating systems, liquid hydrogen vacuum insulated cryogenic pipes, hydrogen and cryogenic breakaway coupling systems, hydrogen refueling nozzles, coriolis and hydrogen mass flowmeter, cryogenic submerged centrifugal and reciprocating pumps, LNG refueling nozzles and vehicle receptacles, solenoid valves, vacuum detectors, vacuum insulated cryogenic pump sumps and valve boxes, liquid and gas separators, condensers, marine heat exchangers, electrical heating bath vaporizers, and cryogenic storage tanks and equipment. Further, it provides platform for HopNet equipment supervision systems; IC card management systems; self service rechange devices; station control systems; RFID systems; wireless handheld data collectors; oil and gas recovery online monitoring systems; and wall tank leak detectors. The company was formerly known as Houpu Clean Energy Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Houpu Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd. in May 2022. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.

Stock analysis

Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471) currently trades at ¥9.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.12, implying the stock looks roughly 135.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥5.83 per share, and 0 of the 20 models we run sit above the ¥9.72 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥2.06, and 20 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 875M CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 7.0M CNY in FY2025, compounding −10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.1B CNY (≈ $611M) · P/S ratio 3.92 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin −2.3% · Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −58%, 300471 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1800 to ¥8.99). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥4.12 Fair Value ¥4.12 Bull ¥4.12
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥5.71 ¥8.99 ¥14.53 79
Owner Earnings ¥1.70 ¥1.82 ¥2.01 78
Growth DCF ¥5.66 ¥8.61 ¥13.38 77
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.71 ¥8.99 ¥14.53 79
Owner Earnings ¥1.70 ¥1.82 ¥2.01 78
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.21 ¥5.84 ¥8.00 73
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.03 ¥3.40 ¥3.75 72
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.63 ¥6.34 ¥8.88 67
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.93 ¥4.58 ¥5.37 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1000 ¥0.4900 ¥0.6700 64
Lynch FV ¥0.1300 ¥0.1800 ¥0.2400 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1800 ¥0.2400 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1500 ¥0.3000 ¥0.4600 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1500 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3200 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.1600 ¥0.2100 ¥0.2600 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.1900 ¥0.2500 ¥0.3200 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.1900 ¥0.2500 ¥0.3200 55
EV/Revenue ¥3.48 ¥4.31 ¥5.14 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.67 ¥2.23 ¥3.34 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.66 ¥8.61 ¥13.38 77
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.21 ¥5.83 ¥7.96 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.22 ¥2.06 ¥1.39 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.1700 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3100 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 98
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+71.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Revenue growth 14 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17% vs −30%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → −14%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

300471 screens 136% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 187 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)97 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300471

Frequently asked questions

Is Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.12 versus a price of ¥9.72, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300471?
Our model-based fair value for Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is ¥4.12 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.72.
What is the quality score of 300471?
Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.12 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 20 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.12, about −58% upside versus a price of ¥9.72 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300471 use?
Our models discount Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd that is +17.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd grew +17.7 % a year. The price currently implies +17.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (+17.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.86 %: that much free cash flow Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd it is ¥4.12 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥9.72. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 300471 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.72, fair value ¥4.12, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300471?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.12). For Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥5.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd at about 4.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.72; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.12 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −0.1%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300471 from its 52-week high?
Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥9.72, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥17.17 and 9% above the low of ¥8.90 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥9.72, calculated fair value ¥4.12 (−58%), Quality Score 60/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300471 calculated?
We run Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
The market capitalisation of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is 4.1B CNY (≈ $611M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is 3.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
The dividend yield of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
The net margin of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
The operating margin of Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
Revenue at Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd is growing +19.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471)?
Earnings per share at Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd are growing −95.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd (300471) hold?
Chengdu Huaqi Houpu Holding Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 90.8M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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