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Shenyu Communication Technology Inc (300563) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 5.3B CNY

SC Shenyu Communication Technology Inc 300563 · SHE
Price¥24.18
Fair Value¥8.12
Upside-66.4%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.84% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.09 – ¥10.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −13.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥69.16 ¥8.03 Fair Value ¥8.12 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.03 – ¥69.16 · fair‑value band ¥6.09 – ¥10.16 · the ¥24.18 price screens above the ¥8.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenyu Communication Technology Inc (300563) currently trades at ¥24.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.12, implying the stock looks roughly 66.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenyu Communication Technology Inc generated revenue of 874M CNY at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 260M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.09 (bear case) to ¥10.16 (bull case); at ¥24.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -66%, 300563 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥10.68 ¥16.90 ¥26.94 80
Residual Income ¥4.94 ¥5.11 ¥5.22 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.77 ¥11.42 ¥16.15 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.78 ¥17.68 ¥29.28 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.40 ¥4.54 ¥6.46 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.77 ¥11.44 ¥16.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.40 ¥14.81 ¥21.53 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.62 ¥13.18 ¥18.35 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.60 ¥12.39 ¥17.99 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.80 ¥14.80 ¥22.30 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.29 ¥13.64 ¥19.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.76 ¥13.00 ¥17.88 54
Lynch FV ¥3.45 ¥4.92 ¥6.40 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.45 ¥4.92 ¥6.40 46
EPV ¥5.75 ¥6.36 ¥6.88 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.09 ¥8.12 ¥10.16 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.18 ¥6.91 ¥8.63 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.18 ¥6.91 ¥8.63 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.47 ¥10.65 ¥12.82 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.30 ¥11.76 ¥14.21 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.34 ¥8.23 ¥10.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.14 ¥4.21 ¥6.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.68 ¥16.90 ¥26.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.77 ¥11.42 ¥16.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.94 ¥5.11 ¥5.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.75 ¥6.44 ¥7.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.31 ¥7.58 ¥9.86 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.18) versus Asset-Based (¥4.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 874M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net margin 8.6%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow 131M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 71.5
More key figures
Operating margin 9.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4100
Dividend yield 0.8%
Net cash 260M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenyu Communication Technology Inc. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of radio frequency (RF) coaxial cables in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shenyu Communication Technology Inc. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of radio frequency (RF) coaxial cables in China and internationally. The company offers RG and micro coaxial, and mini micro coaxial; microwave communication cables, including WA, WD, YA, and TA/TD series; and antenna and darkroom test, DC-70GHz test assembly, and LOW PIM test assembly. It also provides data communication cables, such as USB full series, HDMI/DP series, photoelectric hybrid cable series, and high frequency and high speed cable series; ultrasound and endoscope image cables and assemblies, and other related cables; semi-flexible and semi-rigid; and automotive cables. The company's products are used in consumer electronics, aerospace, full-band test, data communications, medical system, base station communication, and automotive applications. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Jiangyin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenyu Communication Technology Inc reported revenue of ¥845M in FY2025 versus ¥840M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥74.0M in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
845M CNY
Latest YoY
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+13.5%
Revenue +0.1%/yr
FY21 ¥840M
FY22 ¥768M
FY23 ¥755M
FY24 ¥877M
FY25 ¥845M
Net income +1.5%/yr
FY21 ¥69.7M
FY22 ¥43.2M
FY23 ¥50.4M
FY24 ¥79.5M
FY25 ¥74.0M

300563 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with TD SYNNEX Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenyu Communication Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300563

Peer Group

Electronics & Computer Distribution · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 71.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 37.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 84 · sector 57
PAST 26 · sector 36
HEALTH 80 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX $251.52 $207.02 -18%
Unisplendour Corporation 000938 ¥38.59 ¥11.79 -69%
Rexel S.A RXL €38.59 €33.31 -14%
Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW $204.10 $115.40 -43%
Avnet, Inc AVT $87.13 $58.57 -33%
WPG Holdings 3702 106.50 TWD 102.31 TWD -4%
Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 ¥22.37 ¥7.52 -66%
Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347 85.30 TWD 86.30 TWD +1%
Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 ¥37.37 ¥8.60 -77%
Beijing Tricolor Technology Co 603516 ¥106.52 ¥23.39 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenyu Communication Technology Inc (300563) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.12 versus a price of ¥24.18, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300563?
Our model-based fair value for Shenyu Communication Technology Inc is ¥8.12 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥24.18.
What is the quality score of 300563?
Shenyu Communication Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenyu Communication Technology Inc (300563)?
Shenyu Communication Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 874M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300563?
The net profit margin of Shenyu Communication Technology Inc is about 8.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenyu Communication Technology Inc pay a dividend?
Shenyu Communication Technology Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.84% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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