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Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd stock ¥7.60, price ¥13.90, upside -45.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100003GL3

JS Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 26, 2026

Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd

300589 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 45% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.8 %/yr in CNY)
Fair value ¥7.60 · Strongly overvalued (−45.3%)
Quality 38/100
Loss-making · -15.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥26.90 ¥8.48 Fair Value ¥7.60 Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.48 – ¥26.90 · fair‑value band ¥5.67 – ¥11.34 · the ¥13.90 price screens above the ¥7.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

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Company profile

Jianglong Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. engages in the design and construction of customized commercial and defense vessels in China and internationally.

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The company's products include various types of patrol boats, law enforcement boats, fishery administration boats, anti-smuggling boats, passenger ships, inter-island transport ships, sightseeing boats, luxury yachts, sea fishing boats, fireboats, scientific research vessels, wind power operation and maintenance vessels, pilot boats, car and passenger ferries, tugboats, engineering ships, passenger and vehicle ferries, dredgers, pontoons, ocean cleaning ships, aquaculture vessels, and aquaculture work boats.

The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Zhongshan, China.

Stock analysis

Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589) currently trades at ¥13.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.60, 45.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥5.67 (bear) to ¥11.34 (bull), the price of ¥13.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd reported revenue of 703M CNY in FY2025 versus 691M CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −131M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.2B CNY (≈ $788M) Small · P/S ratio 5.97 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3500 · Net margin −15.5% · Return on equity −17.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin −2.4% · Revenue (TTM) 860M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −45%, 300589 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.67 Fair Value ¥7.60 Bull ¥11.34
Price ¥13.90 · Upside -45.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8500 ¥1.14 ¥1.70 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8500 ¥1.14 ¥1.70 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 19
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 62
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 85
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 50
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 32
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 12/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−59.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.7% (2020) → −13.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300589 screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 235 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −45.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −15.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −2.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 75.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.59× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.10× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Safran SA SAF €271.80 €298.98 +10% vs 300589
TransDigm Group TDG $1,105 $1,215 +10% vs 300589
General Dynamics Corporation GD $349.36 $274.19 −22% vs 300589
Thales S.A HO €228.00 €170.99 −25% vs 300589
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $589.91 $439.62 −25% vs 300589
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $551.44 $382.98 −31% vs 300589
RTX Corporation RTX $191.01 $88.30 −54% vs 300589
General Electric Company GE $293.54 $92.26 −69% vs 300589
Rheinmetall AG RHM €1,019 €313.19 −69% vs 300589
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $185.91 $52.50 −72% vs 300589

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300589

Frequently asked questions

Is Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.60 versus a price of ¥13.90, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300589?
Our model-based fair value for Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is ¥7.60 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.90.
What is the quality score of 300589?
Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.60 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.67, optimistic scenario ¥11.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.60, about −45% upside versus a price of ¥13.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.67, optimistic scenario ¥11.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 860M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd it is ¥7.60 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of ¥13.90. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, 300589 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.90, fair value ¥7.60, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300589?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.60). For Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd the two are ¥6.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd at about 5.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300589?
Our models span a range for Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.67, base ¥7.60, optimistic ¥11.34 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price ¥13.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity −17.9%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300589 from its 52-week high?
Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd trades at ¥13.90, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥26.90 and 29% above the low of ¥10.80 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Safran SA, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price ¥13.90, calculated fair value ¥7.60 (−45%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300589 calculated?
We run Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was ¥13.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.60, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥5.67 to ¥11.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
The market capitalisation of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 5.2B CNY (≈ $788M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 5.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
Earnings per share at Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd are ¥−0.3500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
The net margin of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is −15.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is −17.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
The operating margin of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
Revenue at Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is growing +75.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589)?
Earnings per share at Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd are growing +16.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589) generate?
The free cash flow of Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd is −189M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd (300589) hold?
Jianglong Shipbuilding Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 233M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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