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Data-driven stock valuation

Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd stock ¥3.65, price ¥9.93, that is 63.2% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100002P26

TF Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd logo Broad data Nov 8, 2026

Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd

300650 · SHE
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 63% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Broad data
Quality 55/100
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend
Revenue last quarter 14% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥3.65 · Strongly overvalued (−63.2%)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −6.1 %/yr in CNY)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 25/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥21.72 ¥6.57 Fair Value ¥3.65 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.57 – ¥21.72 · fair‑value band ¥2.74 – ¥4.77 · the ¥9.93 price screens above the ¥3.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Tecnon Electronics Co., Ltd. engages in the commercial lighting and semiconductor design and distribution businesses in China.

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Its product portfolio primarily includes LED track spotlights, LED downlights, LED line lights, LED displays, and LED signage product, as well as other value-added services for retail stores, hotel chains, supermarkets, and offices.

The company also offers semiconductor design services, such as microelectronics; and semiconductor distribution services, including 5G RF ICs and various sensors for smartphones, consumer electronics, and automotive and security markets.

The company was formerly known as Tecnon (Fujian) Commercial Lighting Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tecnon Electronics Co., Ltd. in December 2021. Tecnon Electronics Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Zhangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650) currently trades at ¥9.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.65, 63% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥5.00 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥9.93 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.37, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥2.74 (bear) to ¥4.77 (bull), the price of ¥9.93 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was 39.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −24.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.4B CNY (≈ $361M) Small · P/E ratio 66.2 · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −63%, 300650 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.74 Fair Value ¥3.65 Bull ¥4.77
Price ¥9.93 · Downside -63.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0821 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥3.43 ¥3.69 ¥3.90 74
Residual Income ¥3.39 ¥3.41 ¥3.54 74
Owner Earnings ¥2.74 ¥4.07 ¥6.46 73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.74 ¥4.07 ¥6.46 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.12 ¥7.84 ¥11.01 61
Lynch FV ¥2.67 ¥3.81 ¥4.95 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.67 ¥3.81 ¥4.95 55
EPV ¥3.43 ¥3.69 ¥3.90 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8100 ¥1.42 ¥1.91 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8100 ¥1.32 ¥1.52 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.60 ¥3.47 ¥4.34 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.11 ¥2.81 ¥3.51 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.64 ¥14.19 ¥17.74 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.58 ¥4.80 ¥6.02 66
EV/EBITDA ¥4.18 ¥5.60 ¥7.02 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.53 ¥3.65 ¥4.77 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.07 ¥1.62 ¥2.02 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.39 ¥3.41 ¥3.54 74
ROIC Compounder ¥3.43 ¥3.69 ¥3.90 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.50 ¥5.00 ¥6.50 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 37
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 92
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 43
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 14
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 91
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.3% vs −3.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

300650 screens overvalued: fair value 63% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 564 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −63.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.7% · Below median
Return on assets 1.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 1.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 2.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −13.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 66.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.81× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 22.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 66
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥23.86 ¥29.39 +23% vs 300650
Vertiv Holdings VRT $182.86 $178.64 −2% vs 300650
Legrand SA LR €129.65 €82.57 −36% vs 300650
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €101.00 €64.29 −36% vs 300650
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 66.98 CHF 29.49 −56% vs 300650
Samsung SDI Co 006400 468,000 KRW 153,766 KRW −67% vs 300650
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 177.00 THB 39.14 THB −78% vs 300650
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 337,500 KRW 53,325 KRW −84% vs 300650

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Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300650

Frequently asked questions

Is Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.65 versus a price of ¥9.93, about 63% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300650?
Our model-based fair value for Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is ¥3.65 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.93.
What is the quality score of 300650?
Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.65 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.74, optimistic scenario ¥4.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.65, about 63% lower versus a price of ¥9.93 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.74, optimistic scenario ¥4.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.54% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.054 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 8, 2026. The payout ratio is 36.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.5% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.5% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd it is ¥3.65 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥9.93. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 300650 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.93, fair value ¥3.65, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300650?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.65). For Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd the two are ¥6.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd at about 2.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.93; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300650?
Our models span a range for Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.74, base ¥3.65, optimistic ¥4.77 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥9.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300650?
Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 66.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 22.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300650 from its 52-week high?
Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd trades at ¥9.93, about 51% below its 52-week high of ¥20.22 and 4% above the low of ¥9.51 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥9.93, calculated fair value ¥3.65 (−63%), Quality Score 55/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300650 calculated?
We run Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥3.65 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥9.93. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.65, about 63% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650) come from?
Earnings per share at Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd grew −0.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +25.7 %, EBIT margin −20.7 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
The market capitalisation of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 2.4B CNY (≈ $361M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
Earnings per share at Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd are ¥0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 66.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
The dividend yield of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 0.5% (payout 36.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
The net margin of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
The operating margin of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
Revenue at Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is growing −13.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650)?
Earnings per share at Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd are growing −68.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650) generate?
The free cash flow of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is −4.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd (300650) carry?
The net debt of Tecnon Fujian Commercial Lighting Co Ltd is 20.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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