Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A ¥3.76, price ¥18.71, upside -79.9%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.48 – ¥28.03 · fair‑value band ¥2.89 – ¥4.70 · the ¥18.71 price screens above the ¥3.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co., Ltd. provides internet cloud computing and big data basic services in China. The company offers server hosting, cabinet rental, enterprise-level customization, and other services; and infrastructure intelligent operation and maintenance services.
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Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co., Ltd. provides internet cloud computing and big data basic services in China. The company offers server hosting, cabinet rental, enterprise-level customization, and other services; and infrastructure intelligent operation and maintenance services. It also provides internet data center and system integration services, as well as professional services, such as network access, data synchronization, network data analysis, network intrusion detection, network security protection, intelligent DNS, data storage, and backup for customers. Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738) currently trades at ¥18.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.76, implying the stock looks roughly 397.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥5.46 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥18.71 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.59, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥2.89 (bear) to ¥4.70 (bull), the price of ¥18.71 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +20.3%/yr. Reported net income was 132M CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 18.4B CNY (≈ $2.7B) · P/E ratio 103.9 · P/S ratio 5.46 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1800 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at −80%, 300738 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥2.28 to ¥22.91). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.89Fair Value ¥3.76Bull ¥4.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1237 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +31.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.0% vs 3.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 27%
Compare Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 488 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−79.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.2% · Below median
Return on assets3.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)28.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth31.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.06× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)103.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.85× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)6.86× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA15.0× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)47· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300738
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.76 versus a price of ¥18.71, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300738?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is ¥3.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.71.
What is the quality score of 300738?
Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.89, optimistic scenario ¥4.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.76, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥18.71 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.89, optimistic scenario ¥4.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A it is ¥3.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥18.71. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300738 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥18.71, fair value ¥3.76, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300738?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥18.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.76). For Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥14.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A at about 18.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥18.71; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300738?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥2.89, base ¥3.76, optimistic ¥4.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥18.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300738?
Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.76 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 124.4 (reported for FY2025: 139.1). Other multiples: P/B 4.9, P/S 6.9, EV/EBITDA 15.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 1.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300738 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥18.71, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥28.03 and 4% above the low of ¥18.01 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥18.71, calculated fair value ¥3.76 (−80%), Quality Score 32/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300738 calculated?
We run Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was ¥18.71. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.76, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738) come from?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A grew +7.6 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.2 %, EBIT margin −6.0 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 18.4B CNY (≈ $2.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 5.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A are ¥0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 103.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 0.1% (payout 7.0%, on adjusted earnings, reported 7.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
The net margin of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 28.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
Revenue at Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is growing +31.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A are growing +77.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is −2.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A (300738) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co Ltd Class A is 5.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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