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Guangdong Dp Co Ltd (300808) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY

GD Guangdong Dp Co Ltd 300808 · SHE
Price¥19.18
Fair Value¥9.73
Upside-49.3%
Quality49/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 49% ABOVE our fair value of ¥9.73
!Weak Growth
!Loss-making · -21.6% net margin
!Trails peers (3/12)
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -21.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.64 – ¥12.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from ¥1.45 to ¥9.73 (+571.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +14.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.64 to ¥12.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥37.00 ¥9.17 Fair Value ¥9.73 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.17 – ¥37.00 · fair‑value band ¥6.64 – ¥12.82 · the ¥19.18 price screens above the ¥9.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Dp Co Ltd (300808) currently trades at ¥19.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.73, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Dp Co Ltd generated revenue of 306M CNY at a net margin of -21.6%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.8%. Net debt stands at 13.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.64 (bear case) to ¥12.82 (bull case); at ¥19.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -71% fair-value upside, at -49%, 300808 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.2300 to ¥4.00). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.18 ¥1.57 ¥2.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.07 ¥1.56 ¥2.16 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.2300 ¥0.2600 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.13 ¥1.53 ¥2.25 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.07 ¥1.53 ¥2.20 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.06 ¥1.40 ¥1.77 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.2300 ¥0.2600 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2100 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3300 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥1.11 ¥1.58 ¥2.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.99 ¥4.00 ¥5.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.18 ¥1.57 ¥2.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.07 ¥1.56 ¥2.16 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.00) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 306M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9%
Net margin -21.6%
Return on equity -6.8%
Free cash flow 18.9M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -22.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4100
EPS growth (YoY) -85.3%
Net debt 13.6M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong DP Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of LED lighting products in China.

Full company description

Guangdong DP Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of LED lighting products in China. The company offers mobile lighting products, including LED desk lamps, LED torch, LED searchlights, LED headlights, LED emergency lights, and LED camping lanterns; electronic mosquito killers; batteries and chargers; fan products; and sockets and accessories, as well as household lighting products. Guangdong DP Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Dp Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥301M in FY2025 versus ¥629M in FY2021, a compound −16.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥61.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
301M CNY
Latest YoY
−30.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.0%
Revenue −16.8%/yr
FY21 ¥629M
FY22 ¥506M
FY23 ¥476M
FY24 ¥431M
FY25 ¥301M
Net income
FY21 ¥8.3M
FY22 −¥27.2M
FY23 ¥41.3M
FY24 −¥19.4M
FY25 −¥61.2M

300808 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Dp Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300808

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -22% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -22% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.82× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 29.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE35 · sector 37
PAST0 · sector 24
HEALTH95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND2 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 -73%
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,910 TWD 1,369 TWD -53%
Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 1,215 TWD 1,768 TWD +46%
Zhen Ding Technology Holding 4958 477.50 TWD 136.13 TWD -71%
Hitachi Energy India Limited POWERINDIA ₹34,275 ₹5,139 -85%
Jentech Precision Industrial Co 3653 5,460 TWD 938.20 TWD -83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Dp Co Ltd (300808) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.73 versus a price of ¥19.18, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300808?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Dp Co Ltd is ¥9.73 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.18.
What is the quality score of 300808?
Guangdong Dp Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Dp Co Ltd (300808)?
Guangdong Dp Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 306M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300808?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Dp Co Ltd is about -21.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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