Pony Testing Co (300887) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +11.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.95 – ¥25.78 · fair‑value band ¥2.59 – ¥3.58 · the ¥7.91 price screens above the ¥3.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Pony Testing Co (300887) currently trades at ¥7.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.09, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Pony Testing Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of -14.9%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.59 (bear case) to ¥3.58 (bull case); at ¥7.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -61%, 300887 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.46) versus DCF Models (¥1.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pony Testing Co., Ltd. provides testing, measurement, calibration, inspection, evaluation, factory inspection, and other professional one-stop technical solutions in China.
Full company description
Pony Testing Co., Ltd. provides testing, measurement, calibration, inspection, evaluation, factory inspection, and other professional one-stop technical solutions in China. The company offers biopharmaceutical CRO/CDMO and drug testing services; medical device testing; medical testing/pathological diagnosis; toxicology and pathology experiments; food/liquor/beverage testing; agricultural product testing; and health product testing services. It also provides drinking water/mineral water and other packaged water products testing; ecological environment monitoring; environmental consulting and operation/environmental stewardship/identification of hazardous waste properties; and energy saving and carbon reduction/carbon measurement/carbon footprint/carbon neutralization/ESG services. In addition, the company offers occupational health/public health/school health; nuclear and radiation/radiation health; automobile whole vehicle/parts/new energy vehicle testing; new energy vehicle power battery and energy storage battery detection; electronic and electrical testing/electrical equipment testing; evaluation of transport conditions of dangerous goods; e-cigarette testing and certification; cosmetics testing; and human efficacy test of cosmetics services. Further, it provides consumer goods/textiles/toys/oil products testing; ink coating/chemical product testing; special equipment inspection and testing; inspection of goods/factory; certification service/two-party audit; disinfection and sterilization; nondestructive testing; and training services. Additionally, the company offers e-cigarette SDS, UFI, PCN registration; electromagnetic compatibility testing; e-commerce solutions; rapid inspection; detection of IgM, IgG and neutralizing antibody of new coronavirus; Software testing and evaluation/network security; environmental reliability test; disinfection and sterilization; and non-destructive testing. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pony Testing Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥246M in FY2025.
300887 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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