Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co (300915) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026 — revised from ¥66.44 to ¥2.70 (−95.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥19.55 – ¥28.84 · fair‑value band ¥2.54 – ¥2.86 · the ¥19.82 price screens above the ¥2.70 fair value. As of Jul 9, 2026.
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Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co (300915) currently trades at ¥19.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.70 — implying the stock looks roughly 86.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue grew 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 259M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.54 (bear case) to ¥2.86 (bull case); at ¥19.82, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside — at -86%, 300915 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of baking, catering, and other food raw materials in China and internationally. The company's products include cream series, jam series, chocolate series, edible oil products, compound bechamel sauce, premix series, catering series, and walrus food ingredients. It also offers baking, catering, and home baking industry solutions. In addition, it offers dairy fat-containing non-dairy cream, non-dairy cream, whipped cream, vegetable-based cream, vegetable protein drinks, jam, chocolate, and oils and fats. Further, the company involved in production and sales of flavors and fragrances and other products; and import, export, and storage of food from overseas business partners; food raw materials; and goods distribution and application services. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co reported revenue of ¥998M in FY2025 versus ¥747M in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥18.1M in FY2025.
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10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NSRGF | $97.58 | $65.41 | -33% |
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| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 75.10 TWD | 72.54 TWD | -3% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,121 | ₹1,374 | -73% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,108 | ₹328.05 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,575 IDR | 13,311 IDR | +102% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,000,000 KRW | 1,066,643 KRW | +7% |
| PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF | 6,725 IDR | 25,554 IDR | +280% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹420.45 | ₹294.68 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.