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Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co (300951) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.6B CNY

SB Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co 300951 · SHE
Price¥68.50
Fair Value¥17.84
Upside-74.0%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.35% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range ¥13.38 – ¥22.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +52.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥68.50 ¥21.44 Fair Value ¥17.84 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥21.44 – ¥68.50 · fair‑value band ¥13.38 – ¥22.31 · the ¥68.50 price screens above the ¥17.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co (300951) currently trades at ¥68.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.84, implying the stock looks roughly 74.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 702M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.38 (bear case) to ¥22.31 (bull case); at ¥68.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -74%, 300951 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.71 ¥11.02 ¥11.08 76
Growth DCF ¥11.41 ¥16.70 ¥26.11 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥15.44 ¥22.06 ¥28.67 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.64 ¥15.74 ¥26.55 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.87 ¥18.65 ¥31.91 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥13.91 ¥22.00 ¥35.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.36 ¥27.43 ¥44.91 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥16.62 ¥28.92 ¥44.59 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.81 ¥21.10 ¥33.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.81 ¥25.44 ¥44.66 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.99 ¥25.89 ¥44.36 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.78 ¥37.84 ¥52.95 54
Lynch FV ¥11.02 ¥15.74 ¥20.46 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥11.02 ¥15.74 ¥20.46 46
EPV ¥13.11 ¥14.26 ¥15.25 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.38 ¥17.84 ¥22.31 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.83 ¥14.45 ¥18.06 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.83 ¥14.45 ¥18.06 55
EV/EBIT ¥18.10 ¥22.19 ¥26.27 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.86 ¥23.19 ¥27.53 54
EV/Revenue ¥14.60 ¥18.34 ¥22.09 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.86 ¥9.19 ¥13.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.41 ¥16.70 ¥26.11 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥13.91 ¥22.16 ¥34.18 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.71 ¥11.02 ¥11.08 76
ROIC Compounder ¥13.11 ¥15.03 ¥17.59 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥15.44 ¥22.06 ¥28.67 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥22.06) versus Asset-Based (¥9.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net margin 5.1%
Return on equity 2.8%
Free cash flow 68.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 103.8
More key figures
Operating margin -5.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4300
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -28.9%
Net cash 702M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the design, development, production and sales of precision functional parts and intelligent automation equipment products. The company also engages in the computer, communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry. It serves consumer electronics, automobiles, smart home, new energy, and WITMED.

Full company description

Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the design, development, production and sales of precision functional parts and intelligent automation equipment products. The company also engages in the computer, communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry. It serves consumer electronics, automobiles, smart home, new energy, and WITMED. Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥836M in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥144M in FY2025, compounding −11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+22.2%
Revenue +13.8%/yr
FY21 ¥836M
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.7B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥1.4B
Net income −11.7%/yr
FY21 ¥237M
FY22 ¥306M
FY23 ¥256M
FY24 ¥211M
FY25 ¥144M

300951 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300951

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 103.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.25× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 55.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 45 · sector 57
PAST 11 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co (300951) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥17.84 versus a price of ¥68.50, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300951?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co is ¥17.84 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥68.50.
What is the quality score of 300951?
Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co (300951)?
Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300951?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.35% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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