Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. stock ¥14.21, price ¥127, upside -88.8%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥17.09 – ¥219.99 · fair‑value band ¥11.22 – ¥18.47 · the ¥127.00 price screens above the ¥14.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of heat dissipation, automation equipment, and other functional devices.
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The company offers die-cutting, metal stamping, injection molding, and die-casting products, as well as thermal solutions. Its consumer electronic products and components are used in smartphones, tablets, laptops, smart wearables, and home smart devices.
The company also provides auxiliary tools, such as automation equipment and fixtures, carriers, knives, etc., which are primarily used in the production process of consumer electronic products for downstream customers in the production links of lamination, assembly, laser cutting, precision processing, and testing.
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086) currently trades at ¥127.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.21, 88.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥14.21 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥127.00 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥4.44, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥11.22 (bear) to ¥18.47 (bull), the price of ¥127.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 911M CNY in FY2025 versus 740M CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 101M CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 16.0B CNY (≈ $2.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 105.0 · P/S ratio 14.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.21 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −89%, 301086 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥4.44 to ¥66.34). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥11.22Fair Value ¥14.21Bull¥18.47
Price ¥127.00 · Upside -88.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6376 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 13%
Compare Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 785 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−88.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.3% · Below median
Return on assets2.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)13.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)8.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)68.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.44× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)105.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B8.19× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)13.96× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA67.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)25· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)78· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.21 versus a price of ¥127.00, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301086?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is ¥14.21 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥127.00.
What is the quality score of 301086?
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.21 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.22, optimistic scenario ¥18.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.21, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥127.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.22, optimistic scenario ¥18.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
Does Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.34% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. it is ¥14.21 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of ¥127.00. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, 301086 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥127.00, fair value ¥14.21, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301086?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥127.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.21). For Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. the two are ¥112.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. at about 16.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is ¥127.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301086?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥11.22, base ¥14.21, optimistic ¥18.47 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price ¥127.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301086?
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 105.0 (as of Oct 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.2, P/S 14.0, EV/EBITDA 67.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301086 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. trades at ¥127.00, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥219.99 and 139% above the low of ¥53.24 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price ¥127.00, calculated fair value ¥14.21 (−89%), Quality Score 46/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301086 calculated?
We run Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ¥127.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.21, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 16.0B CNY (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 14.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. are ¥1.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 105.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 0.3% (payout 35.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
The net margin of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 13.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
Revenue at Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is growing +68.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. are growing +745% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is −788M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. is 526M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 25, 2026