Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 24.9B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥93.11 to ¥13.70 (−85.3%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +6.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range ¥17.09 – ¥219.99 · fair‑value band ¥10.28 – ¥17.13 · the ¥123.89 price screens above the ¥13.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. (301086) currently trades at ¥123.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.70, implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 62.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at 526M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.28 (bear case) to ¥17.13 (bull case); at ¥123.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 313% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -89%, 301086 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥14.21) versus Economic Profit (¥5.89). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of heat dissipation, automation equipment, and other functional devices. The company offers die-cutting, metal stamping, injection molding, and die-casting products, as well as thermal solutions.
Full company description
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of heat dissipation, automation equipment, and other functional devices. The company offers die-cutting, metal stamping, injection molding, and die-casting products, as well as thermal solutions. Its consumer electronic products and components are used in smartphones, tablets, laptops, smart wearables, and home smart devices. The company also provides auxiliary tools, such as automation equipment and fixtures, carriers, knives, etc., which are primarily used in the production process of consumer electronic products for downstream customers in the production links of lamination, assembly, laser cutting, precision processing, and testing. Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen hongfuhan Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of ¥911M in FY2025 versus ¥740M in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥101M in FY2025, compounding −7.2%/yr from FY2021.
301086 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 818 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €275.55 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$33.09 | C$22.75 | -31% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 202.30 | kr 112.59 | -44% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹425.20 | ₹78.13 | -82% |
| Siemens Limited SIEMENS | ₹4,019 | ₹746.83 | -81% |
| Airtac International Group 1590 | 1,470 TWD | 853.70 TWD | -42% |
| Suzlon Energy Limited SUZLON | ₹47.35 | ₹26.64 | -44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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