Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. ¥13.68, price ¥14.27, upside -4.1%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range ¥6.99 – ¥29.62 · fair‑value band ¥9.57 – ¥19.04 · the ¥14.27 price screens above the ¥13.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and leasing of special tools and equipment for oil and gas drilling applications in China and internationally.
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Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and leasing of special tools and equipment for oil and gas drilling applications in China and internationally. The company offers drilling tools, such as down-hole motors, non-magnetic products, hydraulic thrusters, insulating joints, and joint products; and drilling equipment, including power section test benches, downhole motor test benches, hydraulic breaking units, and drilling pumps. It also provides oil and gas exploitation products consists of profile control pump and injection systems, christmas tree products, and snubbing products; well-control equipment comprising casing heads; and engineering technical services, including directional drilling, surface treatment, and horizontal drilling. The company also exports its products. Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1961 and is based in Dezhou, China.
Stock analysis
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158) currently trades at ¥14.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.68, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥9.51 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥14.27 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥4.70, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥9.57 (bear) to ¥19.04 (bull), the price of ¥14.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 721M CNY in FY2025 versus 445M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was 117M CNY in FY2025, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B CNY (≈ $416M) · P/E ratio 25.9 · P/S ratio 4.20 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 16.2% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −4%, 301158 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥9.57Fair Value ¥13.68Bull ¥19.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2115 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs 51%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.2% a year for the price.
Compare Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301158
Frequently asked questions
Is Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.68 versus a price of ¥14.27, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 301158?
Our model-based fair value for Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is ¥13.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.27.
What is the quality score of 301158?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.57, optimistic scenario ¥19.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.68, about −4% upside versus a price of ¥14.27 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥9.57, optimistic scenario ¥19.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 702M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +9.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301158 use?
Our models discount Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. that is +9.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. grew +11.3 % a year. The price currently implies +9.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (+9.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.79 %: that much free cash flow Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. it is ¥13.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥14.27. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301158 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.27, fair value ¥13.68, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301158?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.68). For Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. the two are ¥0.5910 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. at about 2.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.27; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301158?
Our models span a range for Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥9.57, base ¥13.68, optimistic ¥19.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥14.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301158?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 21.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301158 from its 52-week high?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. trades at ¥14.27, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥28.46 and 15% above the low of ¥12.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥14.27, calculated fair value ¥13.68 (−4%), Quality Score 54/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301158 calculated?
We run Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥14.27. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.68, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (¥9.57 to ¥19.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The market capitalisation of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is 2.8B CNY (≈ $416M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is 4.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
Earnings per share at Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. are ¥0.5500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The dividend yield of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is 1.8% (payout 47.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The net margin of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is 16.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
The operating margin of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
Revenue at Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. is growing −16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158)?
Earnings per share at Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. are growing −67.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. (301158) hold?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 239M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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