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Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co (301158) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY

DU Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co 301158 · SHE
Price¥15.48
Fair Value¥5.57
Upside-64.0%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.74% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.14 – ¥7.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +9.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥29.62 ¥6.99 Fair Value ¥5.57 Jan 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ¥6.99 – ¥29.62 · fair‑value band ¥5.14 – ¥7.00 · the ¥15.48 price screens above the ¥5.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co (301158) currently trades at ¥15.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.57, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co generated revenue of 702M CNY at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue declined 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 239M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.14 (bear case) to ¥7.00 (bull case); at ¥15.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -64%, 301158 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.92 ¥6.35 ¥7.19 76
Growth DCF ¥9.10 ¥15.13 ¥24.92 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.66 ¥9.51 ¥12.36 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.21 ¥15.92 ¥27.30 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.74 ¥15.09 ¥25.84 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.59 ¥8.35 ¥11.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.32 ¥7.78 ¥10.72 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥7.41 ¥12.14 ¥17.51 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.67 ¥9.69 ¥14.08 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.59 ¥9.28 ¥13.08 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.96 ¥12.42 ¥18.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.07 ¥19.45 ¥26.76 54
Lynch FV ¥5.18 ¥7.40 ¥9.62 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.18 ¥7.40 ¥9.62 46
EPV ¥4.70 ¥5.33 ¥5.87 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.28 ¥8.37 ¥10.46 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.33 ¥4.44 ¥5.55 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.62 ¥10.16 ¥12.71 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.57 ¥5.84 ¥7.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.62 ¥4.58 ¥5.54 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.84 ¥5.17 ¥6.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.58 ¥4.79 ¥7.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.10 ¥15.13 ¥24.92 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.59 ¥8.37 ¥12.00 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.92 ¥6.35 ¥7.19 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.70 ¥5.33 ¥5.87 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.66 ¥9.51 ¥12.36 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.69) versus Asset-Based (¥4.79). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 702M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.2%
Net margin 14.9%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow 134M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 27.5
More key figures
Operating margin 4.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -67.4%
Net cash 239M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and leasing of special tools and equipment for oil and gas drilling applications in China and internationally.

Full company description

Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and leasing of special tools and equipment for oil and gas drilling applications in China and internationally. The company offers drilling tools, such as down-hole motors, non-magnetic products, hydraulic thrusters, insulating joints, and joint products; and drilling equipment, including power section test benches, downhole motor test benches, hydraulic breaking units, and drilling pumps. It also provides oil and gas exploitation products consists of profile control pump and injection systems, christmas tree products, and snubbing products; well-control equipment comprising casing heads; and engineering technical services, including directional drilling, surface treatment, and horizontal drilling. The company also exports its products. Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1961 and is based in Dezhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co reported revenue of ¥721M in FY2025 versus ¥445M in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥117M in FY2025, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
721M CNY
Latest YoY
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY21 ¥445M
FY22 ¥492M
FY23 ¥567M
FY24 ¥667M
FY25 ¥721M
Net income +16.9%/yr
FY21 ¥62.4M
FY22 ¥76.5M
FY23 ¥86.7M
FY24 ¥99.2M
FY25 ¥117M

301158 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301158

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -16% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 21.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 30 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 533.97 MXN -36%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $55.95 $33.55 -40%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $74.57 $27.57 -63%
Halliburton Company HAL $35.22 $21.50 -39%
Tenaris S.A TS $57.16 $45.68 -20%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥138.79 ¥34.17 -75%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.20 €2.72 -35%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.00 kr 227.98 -29%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.08 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €188.10 €95.01 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co (301158) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.57 versus a price of ¥15.48, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301158?
Our model-based fair value for Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co is ¥5.57 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.48.
What is the quality score of 301158?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co (301158)?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 702M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301158?
The net profit margin of Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co is about 14.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co pay a dividend?
Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.74% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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