QC Solar Corporation (301278) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥5.16 to ¥6.38 (+23.6%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range ¥23.95 – ¥95.84 · fair‑value band ¥4.79 – ¥7.96 · the ¥27.43 price screens above the ¥6.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
QC Solar Corporation (301278) currently trades at ¥27.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.38, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, QC Solar Corporation generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 161.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.79 (bear case) to ¥7.96 (bull case); at ¥27.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -77%, 301278 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥10.62) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
QC Solar Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of photovoltaic (PV) connection boxes and connectors in China. It offers power semiconductor modules; PV general and smart junction boxes; solar, energy storage, EV, and robotics cables; solar PV, energy storage, and EV connectors and cables harness; and installation tools.
Full company description
QC Solar Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of photovoltaic (PV) connection boxes and connectors in China. It offers power semiconductor modules; PV general and smart junction boxes; solar, energy storage, EV, and robotics cables; solar PV, energy storage, and EV connectors and cables harness; and installation tools. The company also provides data computing connection solutions; PV microinverters; PV combiner boxes/cabinets; and RSD boxes, solar optimizers, and outdoor precision connection systems. In addition, it exports its products. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Suzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
QC Solar Corporation reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥736M in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥20.4M in FY2025, compounding −25.1%/yr from FY2021.
301278 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 647 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,790 TWD | 602.37 TWD | -66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | -31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | -88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | -90% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥143.23 | ¥36.30 | -75% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥385.80 | ¥125.52 | -67% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$238.60 | HK$75.68 | -68% |
| Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 | HK$38.70 | HK$8.95 | -77% |
| Asia Vital Components Co 3017 | 2,910 TWD | 1,369 TWD | -53% |
| Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 | 1,215 TWD | 1,768 TWD | +46% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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