QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A ¥6.38, price ¥28.81, upside -77.9%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range ¥23.95 – ¥95.84 · fair‑value band ¥4.79 – ¥7.98 · the ¥28.81 price screens above the ¥6.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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QC Solar Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of photovoltaic (PV) connection boxes and connectors in China. It offers power semiconductor modules; PV general and smart junction boxes; solar, energy storage, EV, and robotics cables; solar PV, energy storage, and EV connectors and cables harness; and installation tools.
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QC Solar Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of photovoltaic (PV) connection boxes and connectors in China. It offers power semiconductor modules; PV general and smart junction boxes; solar, energy storage, EV, and robotics cables; solar PV, energy storage, and EV connectors and cables harness; and installation tools. The company also provides data computing connection solutions; PV microinverters; PV combiner boxes/cabinets; and RSD boxes, solar optimizers, and outdoor precision connection systems. In addition, it exports its products. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Suzhou, China.
Stock analysis
QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278) currently trades at ¥28.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.38, implying the stock looks roughly 351.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥10.62 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥28.81 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.56, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥4.79 (bear) to ¥7.98 (bull), the price of ¥28.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 736M CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 20.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −25.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.0B CNY (≈ $444M) · P/E ratio 169.5 · P/S ratio 3.20 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −78%, 301278 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.79Fair Value ¥6.38Bull ¥7.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0965 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
’19
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−25.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 2%
Compare QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 646 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Return on assets0.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)169.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.10× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.68× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA77.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)65· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301278
Frequently asked questions
Is QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.38 versus a price of ¥28.81, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301278?
Our model-based fair value for QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is ¥6.38 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.81.
What is the quality score of 301278?
QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.38 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.79, optimistic scenario ¥7.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.38, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥28.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.79, optimistic scenario ¥7.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A it is ¥6.38 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥28.81. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 301278 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥28.81, fair value ¥6.38, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301278?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥28.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.38). For QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥22.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A at about 3.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥28.81; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301278?
Our models span a range for QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥4.79, base ¥6.38, optimistic ¥7.98 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥28.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301278?
QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 169.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.38 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 77.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
Balance-sheet figures for QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301278 from its 52-week high?
QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥28.81, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥49.65 and 20% above the low of ¥23.95 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥28.81, calculated fair value ¥6.38 (−78%), Quality Score 36/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301278 calculated?
We run QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was ¥28.81. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.38, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
The market capitalisation of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is 3.0B CNY (≈ $444M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
The price-to-sales ratio of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is 3.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
Earnings per share at QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 169.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
The dividend yield of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is 0.1% (payout 23.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
The net margin of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
The return on equity (ROE) of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
The operating margin of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
Revenue at QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is growing +12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278)?
Earnings per share at QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A are growing −49.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A (301278) generate?
The free cash flow of QC Solar (Suzhou) Co. Ltd. A is −128M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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