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Data-driven stock valuation

Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A stock ¥29.51, price ¥246, upside -88.0%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100005WS0

GD Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A logo Thin data Oct 24, 2026

Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A

301377 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 88% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 62/100
Highly profitable · 30.0% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Wide moat 80/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +17.3 %/yr in CNY)
0.8% dividend yield · Token dividend
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Fair value ¥29.51 · Strongly overvalued (−88.0%)
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
Structural break⚠ Small free float

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥659.60 ¥12.41 Fair Value ¥29.51 Nov 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range ¥12.41 – ¥659.60 · fair‑value band ¥22.13 – ¥36.89 · the ¥246.00 price screens above the ¥29.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Dtech Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of tools, materials, and equipment in China and internationally.

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The company offers milling cutters, blades, and drill bits; and stainless steel pressure plate cleaning brushes, cutting force grinding brushes, non-woven fabric grinding brushes, ceramic grinding brushes, nylon grinding brushes, grinding circular sand belt mold brushes, diamond brush dressing plates, and golden finger grinding wheels.

It also provides CNC tool grinders, grinding machines, CNC tap thread grinders, automatic sandblasting passivation machines, abrasive wheel CNC forming machines, cathodic arcs, hot filaments, automatic image measuring instruments, and intelligent drilling needle library systems.

Its products are used in the PCB, metalworking, semiconductor, smart warehousing, light control, and vacuum coating industries. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.

Stock analysis

Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377) currently trades at ¥246.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥29.51, 88.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥32.97 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥246.00 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥4.90, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥22.13 (bear) to ¥36.89 (bull), the price of ¥246.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 434M CNY in FY2025, compounding +16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 101B CNY (≈ $15.2B) Large · P/E ratio 106.0 · P/S ratio 31.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.32 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 30.0% · Return on equity 33.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 80 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 163% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −88%, 301377 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥2.09 to ¥49.98). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥22.13 Fair Value ¥29.51 Bull ¥36.89
Price ¥246.00 · Upside -88.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3429 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥6.11 ¥7.54 ¥10.61 75
ROIC Compounder ¥9.60 ¥12.57 ¥15.41 72
EPV ¥8.52 ¥9.49 ¥10.29 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.17 ¥49.98 ¥70.14 63
Lynch FV ¥14.76 ¥21.08 ¥27.40 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥14.76 ¥21.08 ¥27.40 57
EPV ¥8.52 ¥9.49 ¥10.29 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.04 ¥5.24 ¥6.96 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.04 ¥4.90 ¥5.62 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥22.13 ¥29.51 ¥36.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥13.44 ¥17.92 ¥22.40 58
P/B Multiple ¥27.56 ¥36.74 ¥45.93 55
EV/EBIT ¥22.93 ¥30.70 ¥38.48 66
EV/EBITDA ¥21.53 ¥28.85 ¥36.16 67
EV/Revenue ¥11.39 ¥16.44 ¥21.50 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.38 ¥2.09 ¥2.62 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.11 ¥7.54 ¥10.61 75
ROIC Compounder ¥9.60 ¥12.57 ¥15.41 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥23.08 ¥32.97 ¥42.86 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 54
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 16
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 82
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 30
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 1
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 54
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 65
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.100% → 25%
2025 sits 95% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

301377 screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

Note from the team Oct 17, 2026
AI conclusion: Strong AI-driven demand surge for precision drills used in server circuit boards supports revenue and margins, yet negative free cash flow and rising competition in core tools limit durable advantage.
Main risk: Rising competition in the core precision tools business would hit revenue growth and margins as the company expands its advanced materials plant.
Dtech makes the precision drills and cutters essential for the multilayer circuit boards powering AI servers. Revenue and margins surged in the first half as that demand exploded, yet the company is now pouring capital into a new advanced materials plant while facing more competition in its core tools business. Our models see the shares as overvalued. Will the AI tailwind keep lifting the main product line faster than expansion costs and rivals erode it?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 635 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −88.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 33.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 30.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 43.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 134.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 106.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 38.22× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 31.81× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 81.0× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 63
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)15 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Amphenol Corporation APH $73.07 $80.38 +10% vs 301377
Yageo Corporation 2327 523.00 TWD 527.72 TWD +1% vs 301377
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 3,235 TWD 2,737 TWD −15% vs 301377
TE Connectivity plc TEL $214.09 $143.13 −33% vs 301377
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥118.99 ¥66.42 −44% vs 301377
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥47.98 ¥18.44 −62% vs 301377
Celestica Inc CLS $304.61 $109.91 −64% vs 301377
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,605 TWD 519.57 TWD −68% vs 301377
Corning Incorporated GLW $123.99 $33.79 −73% vs 301377
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,168,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −85% vs 301377

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301377

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥29.51 versus a price of ¥246.00, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301377?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥29.51 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥246.00.
What is the quality score of 301377?
Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥29.51 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥22.13, optimistic scenario ¥36.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥29.51, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥246.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥22.13, optimistic scenario ¥36.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
Does Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥29.51 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of ¥246.00. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, 301377 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥246.00, fair value ¥29.51, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301377?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥246.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥29.51). For Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥216.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 101B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥246.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥29.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301377?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥22.13, base ¥29.51, optimistic ¥36.89 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price ¥246.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301377?
Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 106.0 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥29.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 38.2, P/S 31.8, EV/EBITDA 81.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity 33.6%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301377 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥246.00, about 63% below its 52-week high of ¥659.60 and 163% above the low of ¥93.63 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥29.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price ¥246.00, calculated fair value ¥29.51 (−88%), Quality Score 62/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301377 calculated?
We run Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥29.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ¥246.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥29.51, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥36.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 101B CNY (≈ $15.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 31.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥2.32 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 106.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.8% (payout 81.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
The net margin of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 30.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 33.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 10.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 43.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
Revenue at Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing +135% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing +386% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is −229M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A (301377) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong Dtech Technology Co. Ltd. A is 168M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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