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Suzhou Future Electrical Co (301386) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY

SF Suzhou Future Electrical Co 301386 · SHE
Price¥20.35
Fair Value¥14.45
Upside-29.0%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.37% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range ¥10.86 – ¥17.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥14.48 to ¥14.45 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥34.34 ¥14.21 Fair Value ¥14.45 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range ¥14.21 – ¥34.34 · fair‑value band ¥10.86 – ¥17.10 · the ¥20.35 price screens above the ¥14.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Suzhou Future Electrical Co (301386) currently trades at ¥20.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.45, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Suzhou Future Electrical Co generated revenue of 543M CNY at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 32.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.86 (bear case) to ¥17.10 (bull case); at ¥20.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -29%, 301386 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.45 ¥8.73 ¥8.89 76
Growth DCF ¥15.27 ¥19.99 ¥26.32 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.59 ¥12.27 ¥15.95 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥15.05 ¥20.29 ¥27.71 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.87 ¥15.64 ¥20.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.90 ¥13.72 ¥17.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.40 ¥16.47 ¥21.02 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.01 ¥19.40 ¥24.87 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.24 ¥15.09 ¥18.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.30 ¥16.92 ¥21.39 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.30 ¥18.89 ¥24.20 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.69 ¥12.77 ¥16.74 54
Lynch FV ¥2.52 ¥3.60 ¥4.68 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.52 ¥3.60 ¥4.68 46
EPV ¥8.66 ¥9.42 ¥10.08 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.86 ¥14.48 ¥18.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.84 ¥7.79 ¥9.74 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.79 ¥11.72 ¥14.65 55
EV/EBIT ¥12.40 ¥15.26 ¥18.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.79 ¥14.45 ¥17.10 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.74 ¥10.84 ¥12.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.39 ¥7.22 ¥10.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥15.27 ¥19.99 ¥26.32 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.90 ¥13.89 ¥17.27 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.45 ¥8.73 ¥8.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.66 ¥9.42 ¥10.08 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.59 ¥12.27 ¥15.95 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.47) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.60). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 543M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin 16.9%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow 150M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 32.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6600
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -24.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Suzhou Future Electrical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of low-voltage circuit breaker accessories in China.

Full company description

Suzhou Future Electrical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of low-voltage circuit breaker accessories in China. The company offers intelligent terminals, including electric operating mechanisms, over and under voltage, leakage recloser, photovoltaic grid connected switch, surge protector, external circuit breaker of energy meters, intelligent distribution box, measuring switch, miniature circuit breaker, miniature residual current circuit breaker, disconnector, molded case circuit breaker, arc fault detection device, IoT gateway, remote controlled circuit breaker, relay type over and under voltage products, miniature reclosing device, smart circuit breakers, intelligent flexible control terminal, flexible control protocol conversion gateway for air conditioners, and a knife switch. It also provides MCCB accessories comprising auxiliary contact, auxiliary alarm contact, shunt tripper, MCCB UVR, motor operator, manually operated mechanism manually operated handles, plug in, and draw out devices. In addition, the company offers ACB accessories, such as latching electromagnet, shunt trip, undervoltage tripper, motor operator, and high low voltage core conductive parts. Further, the company provides solutions for dual carbon goals, communication base stations, security surveillance, smart buildings, rail transportation, smart grids, and PV grid connected. Suzhou Future Electrical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is based in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suzhou Future Electrical Co reported revenue of ¥545M in FY2025 versus ¥459M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥96.5M in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
545M CNY
Latest YoY
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 ¥459M
FY22 ¥478M
FY23 ¥558M
FY24 ¥506M
FY25 ¥545M
Net income +4.0%/yr
FY21 ¥82.4M
FY22 ¥80.5M
FY23 ¥101M
FY24 ¥90.1M
FY25 ¥96.5M

301386 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzhou Future Electrical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301386

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 526 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 25.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 24 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 47 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suzhou Future Electrical Co (301386) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.45 versus a price of ¥20.35, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301386?
Our model-based fair value for Suzhou Future Electrical Co is ¥14.45 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.35.
What is the quality score of 301386?
Suzhou Future Electrical Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Suzhou Future Electrical Co (301386)?
Suzhou Future Electrical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 543M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301386?
The net profit margin of Suzhou Future Electrical Co is about 16.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suzhou Future Electrical Co pay a dividend?
Suzhou Future Electrical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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