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Data-driven stock valuation

Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A (301510) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CNE1000066N4

At a glance

GT Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A 301510 · SHE
Price¥28.12
Fair Value¥3.31
Upside−88.2%
Quality53/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

A solid business, but trading 750% above our fair value of ¥3.31.

As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A is ¥3.31 per share against a price of ¥28.12, so the fair value sits 88% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +16.4 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range ¥2.48 to ¥4.13

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from ¥4.41 to ¥3.31 (−24.9%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥67.72 ¥19.15 Fair Value ¥3.31 Aug 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range ¥19.15 – ¥67.72 · fair‑value band ¥2.48 – ¥4.13 · the ¥28.12 price screens above the ¥3.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A (301510) currently trades at ¥28.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.31, implying the stock looks roughly 749.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥3.98 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥28.12 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥1.98, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A generated revenue of 602M CNY at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue grew 50.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 140.6. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Scenario range: ¥2.48 (bear) to ¥4.13 (bull), the price of ¥28.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −88%, 301510 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1375 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥1.33 ¥1.88 ¥3.27 75
Growth DCF ¥1.31 ¥1.98 ¥3.04 74
Residual Income ¥2.70 ¥2.69 ¥2.48 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.33 ¥1.88 ¥3.27 75
Owner Earnings ¥3.16 ¥5.80 ¥10.93 70
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.12 ¥3.70 ¥6.03 68
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.81 ¥5.25 ¥8.57 70
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.53 ¥4.64 ¥7.25 66
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.80 ¥3.26 ¥5.85 61
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.34 ¥4.45 ¥8.15 62
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.15 ¥3.98 ¥6.96 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.07 ¥6.40 ¥8.92 61
Lynch FV ¥1.82 ¥2.60 ¥3.38 58
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.82 ¥2.60 ¥3.38 55
EPV ¥2.51 ¥2.81 ¥3.08 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.48 ¥3.31 ¥4.13 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.01 ¥2.68 ¥3.34 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.01 ¥2.68 ¥3.34 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.78 ¥4.81 ¥5.84 66
EV/EBITDA ¥3.56 ¥4.53 ¥5.49 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.41 ¥3.15 ¥3.89 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.79 ¥2.40 ¥3.58 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.31 ¥1.98 ¥3.04 74
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.12 ¥3.61 ¥5.71 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.70 ¥2.69 ¥2.48 73
ROIC Compounder ¥2.51 ¥2.81 ¥3.08 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.65 ¥3.79 ¥4.93 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.98) versus Growth DCF (¥1.98). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 140.6
P/S ratio 16.1 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 140.6
Net margin 11.5% FY2025
Return on equity 5.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 17.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 602M CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +50.1% 3y avg +16.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +200%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 18.1M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Googol Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of motion control products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Googol Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of motion control products in China and internationally. It provides motion controller, including card type , embedded motion, network motion, and computer programmable automation controller; drive and control integration; motor driver, such as servo, steppe, and spindle drive; and line laser scanning 3D camera. It also offers software platform, including MotionStudio motion controller debugging software; OtoStudio software development platform; and Driverstudio servo drive debugging software. In addition, it provides robot caliberation system, industrial automation, and teaching equipment. Googol Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 550M CNY in FY2025 versus 338M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was 63.0M CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
550M CNY
Latest YoY
+31.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−2.8%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22.9% (2021) → 17.7% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop29% (2023) · in CNY
Revenue +12.9%/yr
FY21 338M CNY
FY22 348M CNY
FY23 404M CNY
FY24 418M CNY
FY25 550M CNY
Net income −0.9%/yr
FY21 65.3M CNY
FY22 53.3M CNY
FY23 51.4M CNY
FY24 50.2M CNY
FY25 63.0M CNY

301510 screens 750% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301510

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 50% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 140.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 9.87× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 23.47× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 116.1× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+60.8 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 4 years+12.9 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price0.16 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.8 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST21 · sector 25
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.78 $97.19 +17%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥178.67 ¥21.19 −88%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A (301510) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.31 versus a price of ¥28.12, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301510?
Our model-based fair value for Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A is ¥3.31 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.12.
What is the quality score of 301510?
Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A (301510)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.31 (as of Sep 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.48, optimistic scenario ¥4.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.31, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥28.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.48, optimistic scenario ¥4.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A (301510)?
Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 602M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301510?
The net profit margin of Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A is about 12.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A (301510)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A would have to grow free cash flow by +60.8 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.8 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +12.9 % per year. As of Sep 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301510 use?
Our models discount Googol Technology Co Ltd Class A at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.17, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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