Xi'an NovaStar Tech Co (301589) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 13.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥178.04 to ¥174.63 (−1.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥106.92 to ¥216.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
30‑month range ¥129.95 – ¥260.33 · fair‑value band ¥106.92 – ¥216.44 · the ¥144.44 price screens below the ¥174.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Xi'an NovaStar Tech Co (301589) currently trades at ¥144.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥174.63, implying the stock looks roughly 20.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Xi'an NovaStar Tech Co generated revenue of 3.6B CNY at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue grew 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 23.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥106.92 (bear case) to ¥216.44 (bull case); at ¥144.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at 21%, 301589 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥165.49) versus Asset-Based (¥27.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xi'an NovaStar Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops LED display control solutions in China and internationally.
Full company description
Xi'an NovaStar Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops LED display control solutions in China and internationally. The company offers light-emitting diode (LED) control systems; video controllers, AV over IP systems, media servers, video splicing processors, control and video processors, V-Can software, and visual intelligent control platform; and nova cloud products, such as LED playback control processors, mini LED control PC, multi media player, and LCD controller, as well as Nova cloud services. It also provides infinity solution, xR solution, calibrations, rental stage solution, HDR solution, and irregular display solutions; and accessories comprising fiber converter CVT10 pro, fiber converter CVT10, multifunction card MFN300/MFN 300-B, monitoring card MON300, ambient brightness sensor NS060, fiber converter CVT310/CVT320, ambient temperature sensor MTH310, splitter DIS-300, and fiber converter CVT4K-S. The company's products are used for entertainment, digital signage, and rental applications. Xi'an NovaStar Tech Co., Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Xi'an, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xi'an NovaStar Tech Co reported revenue of ¥3.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥588M in FY2025, compounding +29.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Electronic Components · 626 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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