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Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd HK$0.69, price HK$0.59, upside +17.3%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK · ISIN BMG2042K1045

CJ Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd

3991 · HK

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value HK$0.6920 · Undervalued (+17.3%)
✓Quality 66/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.8% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.16 HK$0.3526 Fair Value HK$0.6920 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3526 – HK$1.16 · fair‑value band HK$0.4844 – HK$0.8996 · the HK$0.5900 price screens below the HK$0.6920 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Changhong Jiahua Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes information and communication technology (ICT) consumer products, ICT corporate products, and other products in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

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Changhong Jiahua Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes information and communication technology (ICT) consumer products, ICT corporate products, and other products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through three segments: ICT consumer product distribution business; ICT corporate product distribution business; and Other businesses segments. The company distributes personal computers, digital products, and IT accessories; storage products, minicomputers, networking products, personal computer servers, intelligent building management system products, and unified communication and contact center products; smartphones. It also develops own brand products, such as intelligent terminals; sells warranty packages; and provides professional integrated ICT solutions and services. Changhong Jiahua Holdings Limited was formerly known as China Data Broadcasting Holdings Limited and changed its name to Changhong Jiahua Holdings Limited in January 2013. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Changhong Jiahua Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Fit Generation Holding Limited.

Stock analysis

Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991) currently trades at HK$0.5900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6920, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$2.12 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.5900 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.9800, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.4844 (bear) to HK$0.8996 (bull), the price of HK$0.5900 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$43.8B in FY2025 versus HK$44.6B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$401M in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.5B (≈ $193M) · P/E ratio 3.6 · P/S ratio 0.03 · Dividend yield 14.3% · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin 1.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 17%, 3991 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.4844 Fair Value HK$0.6920 Bull HK$0.8996
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$70.81 HK$97.99 HK$177.31 74
Residual Income HK$1.92 HK$2.12 HK$2.55 74
Growth DCF HK$66.51 HK$105.47 HK$166.32 72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$70.81 HK$97.99 HK$177.31 74
Owner Earnings HK$7.53 HK$11.76 HK$19.14 70
5Y Revenue Exit HK$29.72 HK$36.48 HK$49.61 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$30.83 HK$38.72 HK$53.69 71
5Y P/E Exit HK$30.90 HK$45.31 HK$61.65 66
10Y Revenue Exit HK$44.82 HK$66.21 HK$71.59 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$45.64 HK$68.24 HK$98.82 63
10Y P/E Exit HK$45.68 HK$68.36 HK$98.52 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.87 HK$13.07 HK$18.34 61
Lynch FV HK$6.75 HK$9.64 HK$12.54 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$6.75 HK$9.64 HK$12.54 55
EPV HK$5.67 HK$5.98 HK$6.23 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.6200 HK$1.03 HK$1.34 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6200 HK$0.9800 HK$1.11 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$5.79 HK$7.72 HK$9.64 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.51 HK$4.68 HK$5.86 58
P/B Multiple HK$3.51 HK$4.68 HK$5.86 55
EV/EBIT HK$10.47 HK$12.91 HK$15.36 63
EV/EBITDA HK$8.83 HK$10.72 HK$12.61 64
EV/Revenue HK$6.85 HK$8.44 HK$10.02 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.15 HK$1.55 HK$2.31 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$66.51 HK$105.47 HK$166.32 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$31.70 HK$41.41 HK$62.65 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.92 HK$2.12 HK$2.55 74
ROIC Compounder HK$5.67 HK$5.98 HK$6.23 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$9.75 HK$13.93 HK$18.11 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)14.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.0% vs 7.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronics & Computer Distribution · 155 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +13.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.5% · Above median
Return on assets 2.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 31.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 14.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.47× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3991

Frequently asked questions

Is Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6920 versus a price of HK$0.5900, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3991?
Our model-based fair value for Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is HK$0.6920 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5900.
What is the quality score of 3991?
Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6920 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4844, optimistic scenario HK$0.8996. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6920, about +17% upside versus a price of HK$0.5900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4844, optimistic scenario HK$0.8996. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$50.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 14.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.6920 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.5900. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3991 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.5900, fair value HK$0.6920, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3991?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.5900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6920). For Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1020 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.5900; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6920 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3991?
Our models span a range for Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.4844, base HK$0.6920, optimistic HK$0.8996 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.5900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3991?
Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.6920 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
Balance-sheet figures for Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3991 from its 52-week high?
Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.5900, about 49% below its 52-week high of HK$1.16 and 4% above the low of HK$0.5700 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6920 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Unisplendour Corporation, Rexel S.A, Arrow Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.5900, calculated fair value HK$0.6920 (+17%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3991 calculated?
We run Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.6920, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.5900. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6920, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4844 to HK$0.8996) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991) come from?
Earnings per share at Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd grew +8.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.6 %, EBIT margin −2.2 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
The market capitalisation of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is HK$1.5B (≈ $193M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
The dividend yield of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is 14.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
The net margin of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is 0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
The operating margin of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
Revenue at Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is growing +31.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991)?
Earnings per share at Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd are growing +13.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991) generate?
The free cash flow of Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd is HK$8.1B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd (3991) hold?
Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$2.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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