Arch Meter Corporation (4588) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arch Meter Corporation TWD 76.76, price TWD 54.80, upside +40.1%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Arch Meter Corporation manufactures and sells electronic measuring meters in Taiwan.
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Arch Meter Corporation manufactures and sells electronic measuring meters in Taiwan. The company offers embedded instrument; three phase multi-function electricity meter, single phase energy meter IEC and ANSI type, AMI concentrator, and single phase pre-payment meter; multi-function, clip-on CT, compact smart, and multi circuit power meter; and singe phase meter IC for small and middle scale monitoring applications, and large sized campuses, factories, and hospitals. The company was founded in 1994 is based in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Arch Meter Corporation (4588) currently trades at 54.80 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 76.76 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 28.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 79.66 TWD per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the 54.80 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 14.48 TWD, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 40.73 TWD (bear) to 103.56 TWD (bull), the price of 54.80 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Arch Meter Corporation reported revenue of 920M TWD in FY2025 versus 365M TWD in FY2021, a compound +26.0%/yr. Reported net income was 137M TWD in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B TWD (≈ $74.5M) · P/E ratio 17.2 · P/S ratio 2.57 · EPS (TTM) 3.18 TWD · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin 14.9% · Return on equity 16.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 40%, 4588 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 40.73 TWDFair Value 76.76 TWDBull 103.56 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1322 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.5%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+30.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 553 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+40% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth42% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.66× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arch Meter Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4588
Frequently asked questions
Is Arch Meter Corporation (4588) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 76.76 TWD versus a price of 54.80 TWD, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4588?
Our model-based fair value for Arch Meter Corporation is 76.76 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 54.80 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4588?
Arch Meter Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 76.76 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 40.73 TWD, optimistic scenario 103.56 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arch Meter Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 76.76 TWD, about +40% upside versus a price of 54.80 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 40.73 TWD, optimistic scenario 103.56 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
Arch Meter Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 985M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Arch Meter Corporation pay a dividend?
Arch Meter Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arch Meter Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +10.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +39.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4588 use?
Our models discount Arch Meter Corporation at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arch Meter Corporation that is +10.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arch Meter Corporation (4588) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arch Meter Corporation grew +39.7 % a year. The price currently implies +10.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arch Meter Corporation (4588) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arch Meter Corporation (+10.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.29 %: that much free cash flow Arch Meter Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arch Meter Corporation it is 76.76 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 54.80 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arch Meter Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4588 trades below its calculated fair value: price 54.80 TWD, fair value 76.76 TWD, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4588?
No. The price is what the market pays today (54.80 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (76.76 TWD). For Arch Meter Corporation the two are 21.96 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arch Meter Corporation worth?
The market values Arch Meter Corporation at about 2.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 54.80 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 76.76 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4588?
Our models span a range for Arch Meter Corporation: cautious scenario 40.73 TWD, base 76.76 TWD, optimistic 103.56 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 54.80 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4588?
Arch Meter Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 76.76 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arch Meter Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.2%, debt of 0.66 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4588 from its 52-week high?
Arch Meter Corporation trades at 54.80 TWD, about 22% below its 52-week high of 70.22 TWD and 12% above the low of 49.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 76.76 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arch Meter Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Prysmian S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arch Meter Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 54.80 TWD, calculated fair value 76.76 TWD (+40%), Quality Score 49/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4588 calculated?
We run Arch Meter Corporation through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 76.76 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Arch Meter Corporation currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 54.80 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 76.76 TWD, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arch Meter Corporation right now?
Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (40.73 TWD to 103.56 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Arch Meter Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The market capitalisation of Arch Meter Corporation is 2.4B TWD (≈ $74.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arch Meter Corporation is 2.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
Earnings per share at Arch Meter Corporation are 3.18 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The dividend yield of Arch Meter Corporation is 5.5% (payout 94.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The net margin of Arch Meter Corporation is 14.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arch Meter Corporation is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arch Meter Corporation is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
The operating margin of Arch Meter Corporation is 17.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
Revenue at Arch Meter Corporation is growing +42.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arch Meter Corporation (4588)?
Earnings per share at Arch Meter Corporation are growing +139% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Arch Meter Corporation (4588) carry?
The net debt of Arch Meter Corporation is 522M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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