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Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Godfrey Phillips India Limited ₹1,748, price ₹1,855, upside -5.8%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Goods · IN · ISIN INE260B01028

GP Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Godfrey Phillips India Limited

500163 · BSE

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ₹1,748 · Fairly valued (−5.8%)
!Quality 50/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +17.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!1.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 51/100
!The models disagree: range ₹1,177 to ₹4,367

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹3,670 ₹271.24 Fair Value ₹1,748 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹271.24 – ₹3,670 · fair‑value band ₹1,177 – ₹4,367 · the ₹1,855 price screens above the ₹1,748 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Godfrey Phillips India Limited manufactures and sells cigarettes, chewing products, and tobacco products primarily in India and internationally. It operates through Cigarette, Tobacco, and Related Products; Retail and Related products; and Other segments.

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Godfrey Phillips India Limited manufactures and sells cigarettes, chewing products, and tobacco products primarily in India and internationally. It operates through Cigarette, Tobacco, and Related Products; Retail and Related products; and Other segments. The company also manufactures leaf blends and cut tobacco; and trades in and distributes tobacco and other retail products, and vaping devices. Godfrey Phillips India Limited sells its cigarette products under the Four Square, Red & White, Cavanders, Stellar, North Pole and Tipper, Time 7, Originals, Business Kings, Jaisalmer, and Marlboro brands; pan masala under the Pan Vilas and RAAG brands; mouth freshener under the Pan Vilas Silver Dewz brand; and candies under the Funda Goli brand name. In addition, the company grows tobacco; and operates convenience stores under the 24SEVEN name. Further, it is also involved in the real estate business. The company also exports its products. Godfrey Phillips India Limited was incorporated in 1936 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Stock analysis

Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163) currently trades at ₹1,855, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,748, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.1%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹4,314 per share, and 12 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹1,855 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹675.98, and 5 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹1,177 (bear) to ₹4,367 (bull), the price of ₹1,855 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Goods sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Godfrey Phillips India Limited reported revenue of ₹67.7B in FY2025 versus ₹29.6B in FY2021, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹10.7B in FY2025, compounding +29.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹44.6B (≈ $463M) · P/E ratio 14.2 · P/S ratio 2.25 · EPS (TTM) ₹59.85 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 15.8% · Return on equity 13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Goods peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −6%, 500163 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹1,177 Fair Value ₹1,748 Bull ₹4,367
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹25.85 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ₹2,266 ₹4,006 ₹6,817 74
EPV ₹1,448 ₹1,645 ₹1,809 74
Residual Income ₹1,148 ₹1,493 ₹2,322 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹2,266 ₹4,006 ₹6,817 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1,402 ₹7,399 ₹10,242 63
Lynch FV ₹2,035 ₹2,907 ₹3,779 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹2,035 ₹2,907 ₹3,779 57
EPV ₹1,448 ₹1,645 ₹1,809 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹701.20 ₹1,264 ₹1,739 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹701.20 ₹1,154 ₹1,350 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹3,247 ₹4,330 ₹5,412 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,562 ₹2,083 ₹2,603 58
P/B Multiple ₹2,629 ₹3,505 ₹4,381 55
EV/EBIT ₹2,621 ₹3,494 ₹4,367 66
EV/EBITDA ₹2,291 ₹3,054 ₹3,817 67
EV/Revenue ₹1,369 ₹1,955 ₹2,541 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹504.46 ₹675.98 ₹1,009 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹1,148 ₹1,493 ₹2,322 74
ROIC Compounder ₹1,606 ₹2,091 ₹2,707 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹3,019 ₹4,314 ₹5,608 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+38.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 16%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.1%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Tobacco Products, Other” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1707 stocks

Beats the sector median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +36.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13.5% · Above median
Return on assets 5.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.81× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Tobacco

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Godfrey Phillips India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500163

Frequently asked questions

Is Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,748 versus a price of ₹1,855, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 500163?
Our model-based fair value for Godfrey Phillips India Limited is ₹1,748 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,855.
What is the quality score of 500163?
Godfrey Phillips India Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,748 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,177, optimistic scenario ₹4,367. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Godfrey Phillips India Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,748, about −6% upside versus a price of ₹1,855 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹1,177, optimistic scenario ₹4,367. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
Godfrey Phillips India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹24.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Godfrey Phillips India Limited pay a dividend?
Godfrey Phillips India Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Godfrey Phillips India Limited it is ₹1,748 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹1,855. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Godfrey Phillips India Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500163 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,855, fair value ₹1,748, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500163?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,855); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,748). For Godfrey Phillips India Limited the two are ₹106.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Godfrey Phillips India Limited worth?
The market values Godfrey Phillips India Limited at about ₹44.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,855; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,748 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500163?
Our models span a range for Godfrey Phillips India Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,177, base ₹1,748, optimistic ₹4,367 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹1,855). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 500163?
Godfrey Phillips India Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,748 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 10.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
Balance-sheet figures for Godfrey Phillips India Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500163 from its 52-week high?
Godfrey Phillips India Limited trades at ₹1,855, about 46% below its 52-week high of ₹3,435 and 1% above the low of ₹1,845 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,748 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Godfrey Phillips India Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Goods) we also value HALDYNGL, TRITONV, Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited, Voith Paper Fabrics India Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Godfrey Phillips India Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹1,855, calculated fair value ₹1,748 (−6%), Quality Score 50/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500163 calculated?
We run Godfrey Phillips India Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,748, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Godfrey Phillips India Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,855. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,748, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Godfrey Phillips India Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹1,177 to ₹4,367). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Key figures of Godfrey Phillips India Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
The market capitalisation of Godfrey Phillips India Limited is ₹44.6B (≈ $463M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Godfrey Phillips India Limited is 2.25 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
Earnings per share at Godfrey Phillips India Limited are ₹59.85 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
The dividend yield of Godfrey Phillips India Limited is 1.8% (payout 56.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
The net margin of Godfrey Phillips India Limited is 15.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Godfrey Phillips India Limited is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Godfrey Phillips India Limited is 13.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
The operating margin of Godfrey Phillips India Limited is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
Revenue at Godfrey Phillips India Limited is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Godfrey Phillips India Limited (500163)?
Earnings per share at Godfrey Phillips India Limited are growing −8.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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