TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of TRITON VALVES LTD. ₹450, price ₹1,081, upside -58.4%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹214.38 – ₹1,370 · fair‑value band ₹284.49 – ₹661.70 · the ₹1,081 price screens above the ₹449.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV) currently trades at ₹1,081, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹449.83, 58.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹781.88 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the ₹1,081 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹167.84, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹284.49 (bear) to ₹661.70 (bull), the price of ₹1,081 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Goods sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
TRITON VALVES LTD. reported revenue of ₹5.8B in FY2026 versus ₹2.8B in FY2022, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹97.1M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹5.5B (≈ $57.5M) · P/E ratio 30.5 · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) ₹35.48 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Goods peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −58%, TRITONV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹284.49Fair Value ₹449.83Bull ₹661.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹16.72 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
2026 sits 129% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.4%/yr over ~5Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+65.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +59.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 661 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−58.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.2% · Above median
Return on assets5.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth38.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)30.5× · Pricier than median
P/B4.31× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF134.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)33· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹449.83 versus a price of ₹1,081, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRITONV?
Our model-based fair value for TRITON VALVES LTD. is ₹449.83 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,081.
What is the quality score of TRITONV?
TRITON VALVES LTD. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹449.83 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹284.49, optimistic scenario ₹661.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TRITON VALVES LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹449.83, about −58% upside versus a price of ₹1,081 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹284.49, optimistic scenario ₹661.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
TRITON VALVES LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does TRITON VALVES LTD. pay a dividend?
TRITON VALVES LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TRITON VALVES LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +65.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.1 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TRITONV use?
Our models discount TRITON VALVES LTD. at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TRITON VALVES LTD. that is +65.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TRITON VALVES LTD. grew +26.1 % a year. The price currently implies +65.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.75 %: that much free cash flow TRITON VALVES LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TRITON VALVES LTD. it is ₹449.83 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹1,081. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TRITON VALVES LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, TRITONV trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,081, fair value ₹449.83, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRITONV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,081); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹449.83). For TRITON VALVES LTD. the two are ₹630.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TRITON VALVES LTD. worth?
The market values TRITON VALVES LTD. at about ₹5.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,081; our models calculate a fair value of ₹449.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRITONV?
Our models span a range for TRITON VALVES LTD.: cautious scenario ₹284.49, base ₹449.83, optimistic ₹661.70 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹1,081). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TRITONV?
TRITON VALVES LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.5 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹449.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.3, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
Balance-sheet figures for TRITON VALVES LTD. (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 8.2%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRITONV from its 52-week high?
TRITON VALVES LTD. trades at ₹1,081, about 9% below its 52-week high of ₹1,183 and 64% above the low of ₹658.53 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹449.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TRITON VALVES LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Goods) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TRITON VALVES LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹1,081, calculated fair value ₹449.83 (−58%), Quality Score 41/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRITONV calculated?
We run TRITON VALVES LTD. through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹449.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TRITON VALVES LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,081. Our model-based fair value is ₹449.83, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TRITON VALVES LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹661.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹284.49 to ₹661.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of TRITON VALVES LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The market capitalisation of TRITON VALVES LTD. is ₹5.5B (≈ $57.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TRITON VALVES LTD. is 0.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
Earnings per share at TRITON VALVES LTD. are ₹35.48 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The dividend yield of TRITON VALVES LTD. is 0.2% (payout 7.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The net margin of TRITON VALVES LTD. is 1.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TRITON VALVES LTD. is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TRITON VALVES LTD. is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
The operating margin of TRITON VALVES LTD. is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
Revenue at TRITON VALVES LTD. is growing +38.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV)?
Earnings per share at TRITON VALVES LTD. are growing +537% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does TRITON VALVES LTD. (TRITONV) carry?
The net debt of TRITON VALVES LTD. is ₹1.3B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 31.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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