Nirlon Limited (500307) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial · IN · Market cap ₹21.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹670.70 to ₹499.10 (−25.6%) since Aug 9, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (₹310.04 to ₹790.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹197.32 – ₹640.35 · fair‑value band ₹310.04 – ₹790.22 · the ₹620.05 price screens above the ₹499.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nirlon Limited (500307) currently trades at ₹620.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹499.10, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nirlon Limited generated revenue of ₹3.1B at a net margin of 37.0%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹11.4B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 18.8 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹310.04 (bear case) to ₹790.22 (bull case); at ₹620.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -20%, 500307 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹581.38) versus Asset-Based (₹34.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nirlon Limited engages in the development and management of an industrial park. It is involved in the development of the Nirlon Knowledge Park, an industrial/information technology park located in Goregaon, Mumbai. The company was incorporated in 1958 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nirlon Limited reported revenue of ₹6.7B in FY2026 versus ₹3.8B in FY2022, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.5B in FY2026, compounding +32.9%/yr from FY2022.
500307 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Brigade Enterprises Limited →
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Property Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brigade Enterprises Limited 532929 | ₹593.25 | ₹559.71 | -6% |
| Raja Bahadur International Limited 503127 | ₹5,027 | ₹647.30 | -87% |
| Tirupati Sarjan Limited 531814 | ₹8.81 | ₹17.12 | +94% |
| Ansal Buildwell Limited 523007 | ₹76.95 | ₹14.23 | -82% |
| Gothi Plascon India Limited 531111 | ₹38.16 | ₹23.08 | -40% |
| FGP Limited 500142 | ₹11.66 | ₹2.36 | -80% |
| IDBI Bank Limited 500116 | ₹82.87 | ₹89.34 | +8% |
| Yes Bank Limited 532648 | ₹22.70 | ₹14.65 | -35% |
| Punjab National Bank 532461 | ₹117.50 | ₹226.68 | +93% |
| Bank of Maharashtra 532525 | ₹81.09 | ₹85.55 | +6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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