Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Oil Country Tubular Limited ₹32.10, price ₹78.04, upside -58.9%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹4.30 – ₹98.84 · fair‑value band ₹11.52 – ₹52.69 · the ₹78.04 price screens above the ₹32.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Oil Country Tubular Limited manufactures and sells drill pipes and allied products, and oil country tubular goods and related services for the oil drilling and exploration industry in India and internationally. Its products include drill pipes, heavy weight drill pipes, drill collars, as well as tubing, casing, and high collapse casing products.
Show more
Oil Country Tubular Limited manufactures and sells drill pipes and allied products, and oil country tubular goods and related services for the oil drilling and exploration industry in India and internationally. Its products include drill pipes, heavy weight drill pipes, drill collars, as well as tubing, casing, and high collapse casing products. The company also offers oil field accessories, such as lift plugs and subs, lifting bails, pup joints, rotary subs, sleeve stabilizers, tool joints, welded blade stabilizers, couplings, and drill rods. In addition, it provides services comprising tool joint hardfacing, tool joints make and break, internal plastic coating of drill pipe and tubing, drill pipe reconditioning, drill pipe re-threading, tubing and casing, and field inspection. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313) currently trades at ₹78.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹32.10, 58.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹11.52 (bear) to ₹52.69 (bull), the price of ₹78.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Oil Country Tubular Limited reported revenue of ₹701M in FY2025 versus ₹14.3M in FY2021, a compound +164.8%/yr. Reported net income was −₹615M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹195M (≈ $2.0M) · EPS (TTM) ₹−10.80 · Net margin −87.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.8% · Free cash flow −₹101M · Net debt ₹168M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −59%, 500313 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹11.52Fair Value ₹32.10Bull ₹52.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−43.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,437.8% (2020) → −92.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oil Country Tubular Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500313
Frequently asked questions
Is Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹32.10 versus a price of ₹78.04, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500313?
Our model-based fair value for Oil Country Tubular Limited is ₹32.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹78.04.
What is the quality score of 500313?
Oil Country Tubular Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹32.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹11.52, optimistic scenario ₹52.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oil Country Tubular Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹32.10, about −59% upside versus a price of ₹78.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹11.52, optimistic scenario ₹52.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oil Country Tubular Limited it is ₹32.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹78.04. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oil Country Tubular Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500313 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹78.04, fair value ₹32.10, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500313?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹78.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹32.10). For Oil Country Tubular Limited the two are ₹45.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oil Country Tubular Limited worth?
The market values Oil Country Tubular Limited at about ₹195M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹78.04; our models calculate a fair value of ₹32.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500313?
Our models span a range for Oil Country Tubular Limited: cautious scenario ₹11.52, base ₹32.10, optimistic ₹52.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹78.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 500313 from its 52-week high?
Oil Country Tubular Limited trades at ₹78.04, at its 52-week high of ₹78.21 and 112% above the low of ₹36.76 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹32.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oil Country Tubular Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oil Country Tubular Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹78.04, calculated fair value ₹32.10 (−59%), Quality Score 30/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500313 calculated?
We run Oil Country Tubular Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹32.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Oil Country Tubular Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹78.04. Our model-based fair value is ₹32.10, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oil Country Tubular Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹52.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹11.52 to ₹52.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Oil Country Tubular Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313)?
The market capitalisation of Oil Country Tubular Limited is ₹195M (≈ $2.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313)?
Earnings per share at Oil Country Tubular Limited are ₹−10.80. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313)?
The net margin of Oil Country Tubular Limited is −87.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oil Country Tubular Limited is −12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313) generate?
The free cash flow of Oil Country Tubular Limited is −₹101M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Oil Country Tubular Limited (500313) carry?
The net debt of Oil Country Tubular Limited is ₹168M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Continue in the live analysis
Fair value and trend for 35,000+ stocks, watchlist, comparison and the diversification check. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
