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Deccan Cements Limited (502137) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Deccan Cements Limited ₹91.42, price ₹549, upside -83.3%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Deccan Cements Limited
502137 · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹91.42 · Strongly overvalued (−83.3%)
!Quality 30/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!1.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹387.95 – ₹1,138 · fair‑value band ₹68.57 – ₹114.28 · the ₹548.85 price screens above the ₹91.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Deccan Cements Limited manufactures and sells cement in India.
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Deccan Cements Limited manufactures and sells cement in India. The company offers ordinary Portland, Portland pozzolana, and Portland slag cement products; and other specialty cement products, such as rapid hardening, sulphate resistant, high alumina, and oil well cement, as well as 53-S grade ordinary Portland cement, a specialty cement for railway applications. It also generates and sells electricity through thermal, wind, and hydro-electric power units. Deccan Cements Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
Deccan Cements Limited (502137) currently trades at ₹548.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹91.42, 83.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹345.55 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹548.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹28.71, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹68.57 (bear) to ₹114.28 (bull), the price of ₹548.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrial Goods sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Deccan Cements Limited reported revenue of ₹5.3B in FY2025 versus ₹7.6B in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹75.3M in FY2025, compounding −49.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹7.7B (≈ $79.8M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) ₹43.51 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrial Goods peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −83%, 502137 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹28.71 to ₹345.55). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹68.57
Fair Value ₹91.42
Bull ₹114.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹35.76 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
₹350.84
₹331.93
₹320.47
76
Gordon GGM
₹26.35
₹28.71
₹32.29
69
Graham-Dodd
₹36.57
₹44.70
₹50.28
67
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹36.57
₹44.70
₹50.28
67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹26.35
₹28.71
₹32.29
69
DDM Multi-Stage
₹26.35
₹32.56
₹41.03
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹68.57
₹91.42
₹114.28
63
P/S Multiple
₹68.57
₹91.42
₹114.28
58
P/B Multiple
₹68.57
₹91.42
₹114.28
55
EV/EBITDA
n/a
n/a
₹27.63
62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹257.88
₹345.55
₹515.75
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹350.84
₹331.93
₹320.47
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹48.85
₹69.78
₹90.72
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
30/100
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Profitability
19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
20/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−34.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−31.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−33.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 1%
502137 screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with Pacific Industries Limited →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “General Building Materials” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3415 stocks
Beats the sector median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| SOLIDSTON SOLIDSTON | ₹25.86 | ₹31.87 | +23% |
| Ecoboard Industries Limited 523732 | ₹61.79 | ₹8.48 | −86% |
| Raymond Limited 500330 | ₹1,199 | ₹350.92 | −71% |
| FRONTSP FRONTSP | ₹1,417 | ₹889.77 | −37% |
| DISAQ DISAQ | ₹11,343 | ₹4,347 | −62% |
| BATLIBOI BATLIBOI | ₹82.38 | ₹24.39 | −70% |
| FLUIDOM FLUIDOM | ₹720.75 | ₹792.83 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Deccan Cements Limited (502137) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹91.42 versus a price of ₹548.85, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 502137?
Our model-based fair value for Deccan Cements Limited is ₹91.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹548.85.
What is the quality score of 502137?
Deccan Cements Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹91.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹68.57, optimistic scenario ₹114.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Deccan Cements Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹91.42, about −83% upside versus a price of ₹548.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹68.57, optimistic scenario ₹114.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
Deccan Cements Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Deccan Cements Limited pay a dividend?
Deccan Cements Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Deccan Cements Limited it is ₹91.42 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹548.85. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Deccan Cements Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 502137 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹548.85, fair value ₹91.42, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 502137?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹548.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹91.42). For Deccan Cements Limited the two are ₹457.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Deccan Cements Limited worth?
The market values Deccan Cements Limited at about ₹7.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹548.85; our models calculate a fair value of ₹91.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 502137?
Our models span a range for Deccan Cements Limited: cautious scenario ₹68.57, base ₹91.42, optimistic ₹114.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹548.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 502137?
Deccan Cements Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹91.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
Balance-sheet figures for Deccan Cements Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.6%, debt of 0.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 502137 from its 52-week high?
Deccan Cements Limited trades at ₹548.85, about 50% below its 52-week high of ₹1,088 and 2% above the low of ₹539.70 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹91.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Deccan Cements Limited?
From the same area (Industrial Goods) we also value Pacific Industries Limited, Keerthi Industries Limited, Inani Marbles and Industries Limited, SOLIDSTON, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Deccan Cements Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹548.85, calculated fair value ₹91.42 (−83%), Quality Score 30/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 502137 calculated?
We run Deccan Cements Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹91.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Deccan Cements Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹548.85. Our model-based fair value is ₹91.42, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Deccan Cements Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹114.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Deccan Cements Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
The market capitalisation of Deccan Cements Limited is ₹7.7B (≈ $79.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Deccan Cements Limited is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
Earnings per share at Deccan Cements Limited are ₹43.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
The dividend yield of Deccan Cements Limited is 1.4% (payout 17.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
The net margin of Deccan Cements Limited is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Deccan Cements Limited is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Deccan Cements Limited is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
The operating margin of Deccan Cements Limited is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
Revenue at Deccan Cements Limited is growing +47.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Deccan Cements Limited (502137)?
Earnings per share at Deccan Cements Limited are growing +4.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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