Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited ₹145, price ₹368, upside -60.6%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹209.85 – ₹813.54 · fair‑value band ₹108.83 – ₹176.01 · the ₹368.00 price screens above the ₹145.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shri Dinesh Mills Limited manufactures and sells suiting and machine clothing in India and internationally. The company offers woolen/worsted suiting under the dinesh brand; paper makers' felt; and hard gelatin capsules for the pharmaceutical and dietary supplement markets. Shri Dinesh Mills Limited was incorporated in 1935 and is based in Vadodara, India.
Stock analysis
Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804) currently trades at ₹368.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹145.10, 60.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹239.60 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹368.00 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹22.84, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹108.83 (bear) to ₹176.01 (bull), the price of ₹368.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrial Goods sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Shri Dinesh Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹677M in FY2026 versus ₹902M in FY2022, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹76.0M in FY2026, compounding −29.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹628M (≈ $6.5M) · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 1.40 · EPS (TTM) ₹5.27 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1% · Operating margin −4.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrial Goods peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −61%, 503804 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹4.94 to ₹298.56). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹108.83Fair Value ₹145.10Bull ₹176.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2405 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.0% vs 10.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.0%/yr over ~7Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.8% a year for the price.
Compare Shri Dinesh Mills Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Textile Industrial” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3638 stocks
Beats the sector median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−86.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−4.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−32.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)12.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.04× · Pricier than median
P/FCF34.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹145.10 versus a price of ₹368.00, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 503804?
Our model-based fair value for Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is ₹145.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹368.00.
What is the quality score of 503804?
Shri Dinesh Mills Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹145.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹108.83, optimistic scenario ₹176.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shri Dinesh Mills Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹145.10, about −61% upside versus a price of ₹368.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹108.83, optimistic scenario ₹176.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
Shri Dinesh Mills Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹607M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shri Dinesh Mills Limited pay a dividend?
Shri Dinesh Mills Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shri Dinesh Mills Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +20.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 503804 use?
Our models discount Shri Dinesh Mills Limited at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shri Dinesh Mills Limited that is +20.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shri Dinesh Mills Limited grew -1.8 % a year. The price currently implies +20.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.89 %: that much free cash flow Shri Dinesh Mills Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shri Dinesh Mills Limited it is ₹145.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹368.00. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shri Dinesh Mills Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 503804 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹368.00, fair value ₹145.10, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 503804?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹368.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹145.10). For Shri Dinesh Mills Limited the two are ₹222.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shri Dinesh Mills Limited worth?
The market values Shri Dinesh Mills Limited at about ₹628M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹368.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹145.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 503804?
Our models span a range for Shri Dinesh Mills Limited: cautious scenario ₹108.83, base ₹145.10, optimistic ₹176.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹368.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 503804?
Shri Dinesh Mills Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹145.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 503804 from its 52-week high?
Shri Dinesh Mills Limited trades at ₹368.00, about 6% below its 52-week high of ₹390.85 and 75% above the low of ₹209.85 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹145.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shri Dinesh Mills Limited?
From the same area (Industrial Goods) we also value Raymond Limited, BETXIND, Deepak Spinners Limited, KG Petrochem Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shri Dinesh Mills Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹368.00, calculated fair value ₹145.10 (−61%), Quality Score 50/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 503804 calculated?
We run Shri Dinesh Mills Limited through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹145.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shri Dinesh Mills Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹368.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹145.10, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shri Dinesh Mills Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹176.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
The market capitalisation of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is ₹628M (≈ $6.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is 1.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
Earnings per share at Shri Dinesh Mills Limited are ₹5.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
The dividend yield of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is 1.3% (payout 91.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
The net margin of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is 11.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
The operating margin of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is −4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
Revenue at Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is growing −32.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804)?
Earnings per share at Shri Dinesh Mills Limited are growing +634% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shri Dinesh Mills Limited (503804) carry?
The net debt of Shri Dinesh Mills Limited is ₹14.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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