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Simmonds Marshall Limited (507998) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Discretionary · IN · Market cap ₹418M (≈ $4.4M)

What is Simmonds Marshall Limited really worth?

SM Simmonds Marshall Limited 507998 · BSE
Price₹260.00
Fair Value₹224.47
Upside−13.7%
Quality64/100

A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of ₹224.47.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.2 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Loss over the last twelve months · -16.5% net margin · fiscal year 2026 6.2%
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range ₹168.35 – ₹280.59

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹260.00 ₹26.95 Fair Value ₹224.47 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹26.95 – ₹260.00 · fair‑value band ₹168.35 – ₹280.59 · the ₹260.00 price screens above the ₹224.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Simmonds Marshall Limited (507998) currently trades at ₹260.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹224.47, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹307.38 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹260.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹34.89, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Simmonds Marshall Limited generated revenue of ₹1.1B at a net margin of −16.5%. Revenue declined 6.4% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹279M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 8.4 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹168.35 (bear case) to ₹280.59 (bull case); at ₹260.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 156% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −14%, 507998 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹231.20 ₹345.10 ₹499.00 80
Growth DCF ₹232.25 ₹330.34 ₹454.18 79
Owner Earnings ₹149.31 ₹225.10 ₹327.48 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹231.20 ₹345.10 ₹499.00 80
Owner Earnings ₹149.31 ₹225.10 ₹327.48 76
5Y Revenue Exit ₹185.99 ₹288.56 ₹417.59 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹216.68 ₹346.45 ₹496.84 75
5Y P/E Exit ₹200.19 ₹315.33 ₹435.55 71
10Y Revenue Exit ₹197.21 ₹290.32 ₹412.75 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹219.76 ₹327.21 ₹468.43 68
10Y P/E Exit ₹210.11 ₹307.38 ₹425.36 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹89.79 ₹292.56 ₹390.83 64
Lynch FV ₹65.44 ₹93.49 ₹121.53 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹65.44 ₹93.49 ₹121.53 57
EPV ₹140.06 ₹160.99 ₹178.44 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹4.68 ₹8.44 ₹11.62 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹4.68 ₹7.43 ₹9.02 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹217.87 ₹290.49 ₹363.11 63
P/S Multiple ₹168.35 ₹224.47 ₹280.59 58
P/B Multiple ₹156.24 ₹208.32 ₹260.40 55
EV/EBIT ₹274.38 ₹370.33 ₹466.27 66
EV/EBITDA ₹235.29 ₹318.21 ₹401.13 67
EV/Revenue ₹165.09 ₹241.61 ₹318.14 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹26.04 ₹34.89 ₹52.08 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹232.25 ₹330.34 ₹454.18 79
Rev-Margin DCF ₹185.99 ₹290.50 ₹412.81 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹78.34 ₹114.83 ₹709.86 64
ROIC Compounder ₹149.36 ₹183.14 ₹219.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹182.13 ₹260.18 ₹338.24 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹307.38) versus Dividend Discount (₹7.43). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.4 as of Jul 4, 2026
P/S ratio 0.52 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹−6.93 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4
Net margin 6.2% FY2026
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −13.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹1.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −6.4% 3y avg +8.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹289M FY2026
Net debt ₹279M FY2026 · ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 76
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Simmonds Marshall Limited manufactures and sells industrial fasteners in India and internationally. The company offers cleveloc and all metal self-locking nuts; nylon insert self-locking nuts; dome cap, slotted and castle, hose pipe fitting, flange, cage, and weld and wheel nuts; U-nuts; cold forged sleeves/bushes collars/spacers; and bolts and studs.

Full company description

Simmonds Marshall Limited manufactures and sells industrial fasteners in India and internationally. The company offers cleveloc and all metal self-locking nuts; nylon insert self-locking nuts; dome cap, slotted and castle, hose pipe fitting, flange, cage, and weld and wheel nuts; U-nuts; cold forged sleeves/bushes collars/spacers; and bolts and studs. It serves the automotive, railway, white goods, farm equipment, and other industries. Simmonds Marshall Limited was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Simmonds Marshall Limited reported revenue of ₹2.4B in FY2026 versus ₹1.6B in FY2022, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹148M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹2.4B
Latest YoY
+14.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Value creation/yr (3Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+65.5% (65.5 + 0.0)
Revenue +10.9%/yr
FY22 ₹1.6B
FY23 ₹1.9B
FY24 ₹1.9B
FY25 ₹2.1B
FY26 ₹2.4B
Net income
FY22 −₹48.0M
FY23 −₹27.1M
FY24 ₹32.6M
FY25 ₹89.6M
FY26 ₹148M

507998 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with SAPL →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Simmonds Marshall Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/507998

Peer Group

Consumer Discretionary · 3805 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Auto Components” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE35 · sector 20
FUTURE0 · sector 14
PAST0 · sector 22
HEALTH87 · sector 96
DIVIDEND32 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAPL SAPL ₹3,998 ₹2,275 −43%
SIMMOND SIMMOND ₹204.65 ₹264.08 +29%
SAMRATFORG SAMRATFORG ₹247.00 ₹138.15 −44%
SALAUTO SALAUTO ₹201.40 ₹177.67 −12%
Swaraj Automotives Limited 539353 ₹201.05 ₹465.32 +131%
Alibaba Group 89988 HK$97.45 HK$48.38 −50%
JD.com, Inc 89618 ¥95.45 ¥73.98 −22%
ALWN ALWN €13.38 €11.82 −12%
Zhong Jia Guo Xin Holdings 2997 HK$0.0990 HK$0.1466 +48%
BYLOT BYLOT €1.17 €0.3900 −67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Simmonds Marshall Limited (507998) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹224.47 versus a price of ₹260.00, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 507998?
Our model-based fair value for Simmonds Marshall Limited is ₹224.47 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹260.00.
What is the quality score of 507998?
Simmonds Marshall Limited has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Simmonds Marshall Limited (507998)?
Simmonds Marshall Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 507998?
The net profit margin of Simmonds Marshall Limited is about −16.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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