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Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Carimin Petroleum Bhd MYR 0.24, price MYR 0.41, upside -40.7%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · MY · ISIN MYL5257OO000

CP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Carimin Petroleum Bhd

5257 · KLSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.2400 MYR · Strongly overvalued (−41%)
!Quality 34/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.47% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.9078 MYR 0.3900 MYR Fair Value 0.2400 MYR Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3900 MYR – 0.9078 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1800 MYR – 0.3000 MYR · the 0.4050 MYR price screens above the 0.2400 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Carimin Petroleum Berhad, an investment holding company, provides technical and engineering support services for upstream oil and gas companies in Malaysia. The company operates through Manpower Services; Construction, Offshore Hook Up and Commissioning and Topside Major Maintenance; Marine Services; Civil Construction; and Others segments.

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Carimin Petroleum Berhad, an investment holding company, provides technical and engineering support services for upstream oil and gas companies in Malaysia. The company operates through Manpower Services; Construction, Offshore Hook Up and Commissioning and Topside Major Maintenance; Marine Services; Civil Construction; and Others segments. It offers offshore hook up and commissioning on production platforms comprising final installation, testing, and commissioning of the facilities' structures machinery and equipment; provides vessel chartering, underwater inspection, repair, and maintenance works and services; engineering procurement, structural and piping fabrication, electrical and instrumentation installation, construction, upgrading, and commissioning services. In addition, the company deploys work barges, accommodation vessels, fast crew boats, and anchor handling tug supply vessels; maintenance, hook-up, and commissioning of onshore/offshore facilities including subsea underwater inspections, repair, maintenance works, and services of oil and gas sectors. Further, it offers manpower supply services; equipment rental services; and manages fabrication yards; and provides project management and chartering of offshore support vessel services; and engages in general contracting work and geotechnical engineering related business. Carimin Petroleum Berhad was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257) currently trades at 0.4050 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2400 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 68.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.6500 MYR per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.4050 MYR price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0600 MYR, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.1800 MYR (bear) to 0.3000 MYR (bull), the price of 0.4050 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Carimin Petroleum Bhd reported revenue of 230M MYR in FY2025 versus 165M MYR in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7M MYR in FY2025, compounding −40.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 94.7M MYR (≈ $23.2M) · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) 0.0500 MYR · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −41%, 5257 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.1800 MYR Fair Value 0.2400 MYR Bull 0.3000 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0400 MYR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 0.6600 MYR 0.6100 MYR 0.4300 MYR 76
EPV 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1400 MYR 74
ROIC Compounder 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1400 MYR 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0500 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2400 MYR 64
Lynch FV 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0800 MYR 61
PEG = 1.0 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0800 MYR 57
EPV 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1400 MYR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1300 MYR 0.2700 MYR 0.4000 MYR 67
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1300 MYR 0.2300 MYR 0.2800 MYR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0800 MYR 0.1000 MYR 0.1300 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.0900 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1500 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.0900 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1500 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 0.1800 MYR 0.2400 MYR 0.3000 MYR 66
EV/EBITDA 0.3000 MYR 0.4000 MYR 0.5100 MYR 67
EV/Revenue 0.2200 MYR 0.3100 MYR 0.4100 MYR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4900 MYR 0.6500 MYR 0.9800 MYR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.6600 MYR 0.6100 MYR 0.4300 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1400 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0600 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1200 MYR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−31.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−33.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−34% vs −18%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

5257 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 109% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.10× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)49 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.80 kr 250.82 −22%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.12 ¥13.04 +8%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €223.40 €245.74 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2400 MYR versus a price of 0.4050 MYR, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5257?
Our model-based fair value for Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 0.2400 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4050 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5257?
Carimin Petroleum Bhd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2400 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3000 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Carimin Petroleum Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2400 MYR, about −41% upside versus a price of 0.4050 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3000 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
Carimin Petroleum Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 218M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Carimin Petroleum Bhd pay a dividend?
Carimin Petroleum Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Carimin Petroleum Bhd it is 0.2400 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.4050 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Carimin Petroleum Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5257 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.4050 MYR, fair value 0.2400 MYR, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5257?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4050 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2400 MYR). For Carimin Petroleum Bhd the two are 0.1650 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Carimin Petroleum Bhd worth?
The market values Carimin Petroleum Bhd at about 94.7M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.4050 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2400 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5257?
Our models span a range for Carimin Petroleum Bhd: cautious scenario 0.1800 MYR, base 0.2400 MYR, optimistic 0.3000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.4050 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5257?
Carimin Petroleum Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.2400 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
Balance-sheet figures for Carimin Petroleum Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5257 from its 52-week high?
Carimin Petroleum Bhd trades at 0.4050 MYR, about 29% below its 52-week high of 0.5671 MYR and 4% above the low of 0.3900 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2400 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Carimin Petroleum Bhd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Carimin Petroleum Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.4050 MYR, calculated fair value 0.2400 MYR (−41%), Quality Score 34/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5257 calculated?
We run Carimin Petroleum Bhd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2400 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Carimin Petroleum Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.4050 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.2400 MYR, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Carimin Petroleum Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3000 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257) come from?
Earnings per share at Carimin Petroleum Bhd grew +6.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.1 %, EBIT margin −2.4 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Carimin Petroleum Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
The market capitalisation of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 94.7M MYR (≈ $23.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 0.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
Earnings per share at Carimin Petroleum Bhd are 0.0500 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
The dividend yield of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 2.5% (payout 20.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
The net margin of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
The operating margin of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
Revenue at Carimin Petroleum Bhd is growing +109% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257)?
Earnings per share at Carimin Petroleum Bhd are growing +10.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257) generate?
The free cash flow of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is −26.4M MYR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Carimin Petroleum Bhd (5257) carry?
The net debt of Carimin Petroleum Bhd is 5.5M MYR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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