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Alphageo (India) Limited (526397) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Alphageo (India) Limited ₹75.60, price ₹259, upside -70.9%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · IN · ISIN INE137C01018

AI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Alphageo (India) Limited

526397 · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹75.60 · Strongly overvalued (−70.9%)
!Quality 50/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −14.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -21.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!6.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹486.81 ₹167.65 Fair Value ₹75.60 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹167.65 – ₹486.81 · fair‑value band ₹48.64 – ₹93.08 · the ₹259.35 price screens above the ₹75.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Alphageo (India) Limited offers geophysical seismic data acquisition, processing, and interpretation services for exploration of hydrocarbons and minerals in India and internationally.

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Alphageo (India) Limited offers geophysical seismic data acquisition, processing, and interpretation services for exploration of hydrocarbons and minerals in India and internationally. The company provides various services, including designing and preplanning of 2D/3D/4D/3C surveys; seismic data acquisition in 2D/3D/4D/3C; seismic data processing and reprocessing/special processing comprising pre-stack imaging, AVO inversion, etc.; and seismic data interpretation consisting of structural and stratigraphic interpretation, and evaluation of blocks for exploration, as well as generation, evaluation, and ranking of prospects. Its services also include consultancy on 3D/4D/3C surveys; API of EM and GM surveys; reservoir data acquisition and analysis; tape transcription and digitization of hard copies of maps, seismic sections, and well logs into CGM/SEGY/LAS formats; third party quality control for 2D/3D seismic data acquisition and processing; topographic surveys with GPS/RTK; Airborne surveys; and geophysical mapping surveys through gravity and magnetic methods for identification of potential areas from mineral prognostication point of view. In addition, the company offers onshore and offshore oil and gas field services; renting of drilling equipment and machinery; and marine and aerial geophysical services. Alphageo (India) Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

Stock analysis

Alphageo (India) Limited (526397) currently trades at ₹259.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹75.60, 70.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹282.60 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the ₹259.35 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹107.56, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹48.64 (bear) to ₹93.08 (bull), the price of ₹259.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Alphageo (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹1.3B in FY2025 versus ₹1.4B in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −₹61.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap ₹1.7B (≈ $17.1M) · P/E ratio 3.8 · P/S ratio 0.79 · EPS (TTM) ₹−13.77 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin −4.9% · Return on equity −11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −71%, 526397 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹48.64 Fair Value ₹75.60 Bull ₹93.08
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ₹70.26 ₹140.00 ₹212.00 67
DDM Multi-Stage ₹70.26 ₹107.56 ₹145.66 66
NCAV (Graham) ₹210.89 ₹282.60 ₹421.78 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹70.26 ₹140.00 ₹212.00 67
DDM Multi-Stage ₹70.26 ₹107.56 ₹145.66 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹210.89 ₹282.60 ₹421.78 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.2% (2020) → −12.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

526397 screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 184 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −21.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −17.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −82.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.8× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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SLB N.V SLB $48.72 $28.87 −41%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $55.62 $32.38 −42%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $70.99 $27.88 −61%
Halliburton Company HAL $31.88 $21.56 −32%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥116.02 ¥127.62 +10%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 324.80 kr 251.18 −23%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.30 €2.72 −37%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €210.00 €231.00 +10%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.12 ¥13.04 +8%
NOV Inc NOV $18.73 $8.59 −54%

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Alphageo (India) Limited · Fair Value
₹75.60 −71%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alphageo (India) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/526397

Frequently asked questions

Is Alphageo (India) Limited (526397) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹75.60 versus a price of ₹259.35, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 526397?
Our model-based fair value for Alphageo (India) Limited is ₹75.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹259.35.
What is the quality score of 526397?
Alphageo (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹75.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹48.64, optimistic scenario ₹93.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alphageo (India) Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹75.60, about −71% upside versus a price of ₹259.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹48.64, optimistic scenario ₹93.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
Alphageo (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Alphageo (India) Limited pay a dividend?
Alphageo (India) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alphageo (India) Limited it is ₹75.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹259.35. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alphageo (India) Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 526397 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹259.35, fair value ₹75.60, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 526397?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹259.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹75.60). For Alphageo (India) Limited the two are ₹183.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alphageo (India) Limited worth?
The market values Alphageo (India) Limited at about ₹1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹259.35; our models calculate a fair value of ₹75.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 526397?
Our models span a range for Alphageo (India) Limited: cautious scenario ₹48.64, base ₹75.60, optimistic ₹93.08 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹259.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 526397?
Alphageo (India) Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹75.60 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alphageo (India) Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −11.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 526397 from its 52-week high?
Alphageo (India) Limited trades at ₹259.35, about 27% below its 52-week high of ₹353.55 and 55% above the low of ₹167.65 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹75.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alphageo (India) Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alphageo (India) Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹259.35, calculated fair value ₹75.60 (−71%), Quality Score 50/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 526397 calculated?
We run Alphageo (India) Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹75.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Alphageo (India) Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹259.35. Our model-based fair value is ₹75.60, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alphageo (India) Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹93.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹48.64 to ₹93.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Alphageo (India) Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
The market capitalisation of Alphageo (India) Limited is ₹1.7B (≈ $17.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alphageo (India) Limited is 0.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
Earnings per share at Alphageo (India) Limited are ₹−13.77 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
The dividend yield of Alphageo (India) Limited is 6.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
The net margin of Alphageo (India) Limited is −4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alphageo (India) Limited is −11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alphageo (India) Limited is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
The operating margin of Alphageo (India) Limited is −17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alphageo (India) Limited (526397)?
Revenue at Alphageo (India) Limited is growing −82.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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