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Sagar Productions Limited (532092) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sagar Productions Limited stock ₹0.27, price ₹0.95, upside -71.4%, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026
Sagar Productions Limited
532092 · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
Our calculation puts a fair price 71% below what the stock costs today.
Low debt
Fair value ₹0.2720 · Strongly overvalued (−71.4%)
Quality 26/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −17.3 %/yr in INR)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 30/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.9400 – ₹9.44 · fair‑value band ₹0.1785 – ₹0.3400 · the ₹0.9500 price screens above the ₹0.2720 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
Company profile
Sagar Productions Limited engages in the media production and trading activities in India. It produces television programs or television commercials. The company was formerly known as Kirti Finvest Limited and changed its name to Sagar Productions Limited in May 2010.
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Sagar Productions Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Sagar Productions Limited (532092) currently trades at ₹0.9500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.2720, 71.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ₹0.1785 (bear) to ₹0.3400 (bull), the price of ₹0.9500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sagar Productions Limited reported revenue of ₹18.6M in FY2026 versus ₹48.0M in FY2022, a compound −21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −₹105M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹368M (≈ $3.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 43.7 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.2100 · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.5% · Free cash flow −₹63.5M · Net debt ₹6.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −71%, 532092 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹0.1785
Fair Value ₹0.2720
Bull ₹0.3400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1197 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)
₹0.2000
₹0.3000
₹0.3800
54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹0.2000
₹0.3000
₹0.3800
54
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
26/100
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Profitability
0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth
9
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow
27
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength
77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment
33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility
20
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum
5
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high
0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares
0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−78.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
’14
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2021) → −556.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
532092 screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with PANORAMA →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Movies & Entertainment” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Communication Services · 1108 stocks
Beats the sector median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Movies & Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PADMALAYAT PADMALAYAT | ₹3.94 | ₹8.86 | +125% | vs 532092 |
| VRFILMS VRFILMS | ₹11.50 | ₹18.60 | +62% | vs 532092 |
| Alphabet Inc GOOG | $317.28 | $336.08 | +6% | vs 532092 |
| PURPLE PURPLE | ₹6.79 | ₹4.19 | −38% | vs 532092 |
| THINKINK THINKINK | ₹0.1800 | ₹0.1100 | −39% | vs 532092 |
| POOJAENT POOJAENT | ₹62.98 | ₹24.20 | −62% | vs 532092 |
| Silly Monks Entertainment Limited SILLYMONKS | ₹20.00 | ₹6.87 | −66% | vs 532092 |
| JMDVL JMDVL | ₹6.40 | ₹1.79 | −72% | vs 532092 |
| SAGARPROD SAGARPROD | ₹0.9500 | ₹0.2600 | −73% | vs 532092 |
| PANORAMA PANORAMA | ₹63.28 | ₹8.39 | −87% | vs 532092 |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Sagar Productions Limited (532092) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.2720 versus a price of ₹0.9500, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 532092?
Our model-based fair value for Sagar Productions Limited is ₹0.2720 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹0.9500.
What is the quality score of 532092?
Sagar Productions Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sagar Productions Limited (532092)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹0.2720 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹0.1785, optimistic scenario ₹0.3400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sagar Productions Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹0.2720, about −71% upside versus a price of ₹0.9500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹0.1785, optimistic scenario ₹0.3400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Sagar Productions Limited (532092)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sagar Productions Limited it is ₹0.2720 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of ₹0.9500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sagar Productions Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, 532092 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹0.9500, fair value ₹0.2720, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 532092?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹0.9500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹0.2720). For Sagar Productions Limited the two are ₹0.6780 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sagar Productions Limited worth?
The market values Sagar Productions Limited at about ₹368M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is ₹0.9500; our models calculate a fair value of ₹0.2720 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 532092?
Our models span a range for Sagar Productions Limited: cautious scenario ₹0.1785, base ₹0.2720, optimistic ₹0.3400 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price ₹0.9500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 532092?
Sagar Productions Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.7 (as of Oct 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹0.2720 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sagar Productions Limited (532092)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sagar Productions Limited (as of Oct 25, 2026): debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 532092 from its 52-week high?
Sagar Productions Limited trades at ₹0.9500, about 82% below its 52-week high of ₹5.38 and 1% above the low of ₹0.9400 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹0.2720 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sagar Productions Limited?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value PANORAMA, POOJAENT, THINKINK, SAGARPROD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sagar Productions Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price ₹0.9500, calculated fair value ₹0.2720 (−71%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 532092 calculated?
We run Sagar Productions Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹0.2720, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Sagar Productions Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sagar Productions Limited (532092)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ₹0.9500. Our model-based fair value is ₹0.2720, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sagar Productions Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.3400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹0.1785 to ₹0.3400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sagar Productions Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sagar Productions Limited (532092)?
The market capitalisation of Sagar Productions Limited is ₹368M (≈ $3.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Sagar Productions Limited (532092)?
Earnings per share at Sagar Productions Limited are ₹0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sagar Productions Limited (532092)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sagar Productions Limited is −12.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Sagar Productions Limited (532092) generate?
The free cash flow of Sagar Productions Limited is −₹63.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sagar Productions Limited (532092) carry?
The net debt of Sagar Productions Limited is ₹6.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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