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Sagar Productions Limited (532092) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · IN · Market cap ₹368M

SP Sagar Productions Limited 532092 · BSE
Price₹1.09
Fair Value₹0.3570
Upside-67.3%
Quality26/100
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Strengths

Ranks above peers (7/10)

Risks

!Trades 205% ABOVE our fair value of ₹0.3570
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −17.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −17.3 %/yr)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Evidence: Low Range ₹0.2295 – ₹0.4420 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Below-average quality, and trading another 205% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.4420). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹0.2295 to ₹0.4420) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹10.16 ₹1.09 Fair Value ₹0.3570 Aug 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1.09 – ₹10.16 · fair‑value band ₹0.2295 – ₹0.4420 · the ₹1.09 price screens above the ₹0.3570 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sagar Productions Limited (532092) currently trades at ₹1.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.3570, implying the stock looks roughly 67.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Net debt stands at ₹6.1M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 43.7 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹0.2295 (bear case) to ₹0.4420 (bull case); at ₹1.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -67%, 532092 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ₹0.2400 ₹0.3300 ₹0.4900 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹0.2400 ₹0.3300 ₹0.4900 50

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 43.7 as of Jul 4, 2026
EPS (TTM) ₹0.2100
Free cash flow −₹63.5M FY2026
Net debt ₹6.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sagar Productions Limited engages in the media production and trading activities in India. It produces television programs or television commercials. The company was formerly known as Kirti Finvest Limited and changed its name to Sagar Productions Limited in May 2010. Sagar Productions Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sagar Productions Limited reported revenue of ₹18.6M in FY2026 versus ₹48.0M in FY2022, a compound −21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −₹105M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹18.6M
Latest YoY
−78.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.2%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −21.1%/yr
FY22 ₹48.0M
FY23 ₹14.1M
FY24 ₹9.6M
FY25 ₹86.5M
FY26 ₹18.6M
Net income
FY22 ₹427K
FY23 −₹2.2M
FY24 −₹4.8M
FY25 ₹1.5M
FY26 −₹105M

532092 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sagar Productions Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/532092

Peer Group

Other · 308 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sagar Productions Limited (532092) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.3570 versus a price of ₹1.09, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 532092?
Our model-based fair value for Sagar Productions Limited is ₹0.3570 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1.09.
What is the quality score of 532092?
Sagar Productions Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 532092?
The net profit margin of Sagar Productions Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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