ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of ARIAKE JAPAN Co €30.67, price €27.80, upside +10.3%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
In Frankfurt, only 1 of the last 20 trading days (30 days) had any turnover. On the other days the price is an indicative quote without trading, so we do not list this stock in the radar. It stays reachable through search.
AJBroad dataOct 1, 2026
ARIAKE JAPAN Co
5EF · F
NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €25.12 – €51.02 · fair‑value band €21.47 – €39.88 · the €27.80 price screens below the €30.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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ARIAKE JAPAN Co., Ltd. manufactures, processes, and sells natural seasoning products in Japan, Belgium, rest of Europe, and Asia.
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ARIAKE JAPAN Co., Ltd. manufactures, processes, and sells natural seasoning products in Japan, Belgium, rest of Europe, and Asia. The company provides chicken bone base soups, ramen soups, chanpon soups, bouillon and consomme products, sauce bases, and Japanese bouillon products; and livestock meat, including beef, pork, and chicken, as well as shrimps, garlic, and seasoning oils. It also engages in the production, processing, export/import, and sale of agricultural and livestock products; processing, export and import, and sale of marine products; manufacture, export and import, and sale of quasi-drugs; and management of restaurants. The company was formerly known as Ariake Tokushu Suisan Hanbai Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ARIAKE JAPAN Co., Ltd. in April 1990. ARIAKE JAPAN Co., Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Shibuya, Japan.
Stock analysis
ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF) currently trades at €27.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.67, implying the stock looks roughly 9.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €31.63 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the €27.80 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €9.78, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €21.47 (bear) to €39.88 (bull), the price of €27.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
ARIAKE JAPAN Co reported revenue of ¥67.0B in FY2026 versus ¥52.7B in FY2022, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.5B in FY2026, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap €885M · P/E ratio 16.7 · P/S ratio 2.37 · EPS (TTM) €1.66 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 14.1% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 10%, 5EF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €21.47Fair Value €30.67Bull €39.88
Price €27.80 · Upside +10.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 18%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.5% a year for the price and +0.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 624 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.2% · Below median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)13.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)16.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ARIAKE JAPAN Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5EF.F
Frequently asked questions
Is ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €30.67 versus a price of €27.80, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5EF?
Our model-based fair value for ARIAKE JAPAN Co is €30.67 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €27.80.
What is the quality score of 5EF?
ARIAKE JAPAN Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €30.67 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €21.47, optimistic scenario €39.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ARIAKE JAPAN Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €30.67, about +10% upside versus a price of €27.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €21.47, optimistic scenario €39.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
ARIAKE JAPAN Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥67.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does ARIAKE JAPAN Co pay a dividend?
ARIAKE JAPAN Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.56% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ARIAKE JAPAN Co would have to grow free cash flow by +7.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +6.2 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5EF use?
Our models discount ARIAKE JAPAN Co at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ARIAKE JAPAN Co that is +7.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at ARIAKE JAPAN Co grew +6.2 % a year. The price currently implies +7.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ARIAKE JAPAN Co (+7.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.30 %: that much free cash flow ARIAKE JAPAN Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ARIAKE JAPAN Co it is €30.67 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of €27.80. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ARIAKE JAPAN Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 5EF trades below its calculated fair value: price €27.80, fair value €30.67, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5EF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€27.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€30.67). For ARIAKE JAPAN Co the two are €2.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ARIAKE JAPAN Co worth?
The market values ARIAKE JAPAN Co at about €885M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is €27.80; our models calculate a fair value of €30.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5EF?
Our models span a range for ARIAKE JAPAN Co: cautious scenario €21.47, base €30.67, optimistic €39.88 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price €27.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5EF?
ARIAKE JAPAN Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €30.67 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
Balance-sheet figures for ARIAKE JAPAN Co (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 7.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5EF from its 52-week high?
ARIAKE JAPAN Co trades at €27.80, about 14% below its 52-week high of €32.27 and 8% above the low of €25.69 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €30.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ARIAKE JAPAN Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ARIAKE JAPAN Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price €27.80, calculated fair value €30.67 (+10%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5EF calculated?
We run ARIAKE JAPAN Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €30.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. ARIAKE JAPAN Co currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was €27.80. Our model-based fair value is €30.67, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ARIAKE JAPAN Co right now?
A fairly wide model range (€21.47 to €39.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of ARIAKE JAPAN Co
How large is the market capitalisation of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The market capitalisation of ARIAKE JAPAN Co is €885M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ARIAKE JAPAN Co is 2.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
Earnings per share at ARIAKE JAPAN Co are €1.66 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The dividend yield of ARIAKE JAPAN Co is 4.6% (payout 76.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The net margin of ARIAKE JAPAN Co is 14.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ARIAKE JAPAN Co is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ARIAKE JAPAN Co is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
The operating margin of ARIAKE JAPAN Co is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
Revenue at ARIAKE JAPAN Co is growing +3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ARIAKE JAPAN Co (5EF)?
Earnings per share at ARIAKE JAPAN Co are growing −11.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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