China National Medicines Corporation (600511) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 20.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 111% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥43.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥23.93 – ¥42.59 · fair‑value band ¥43.66 – ¥72.07 · the ¥27.53 price screens below the ¥58.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
China National Medicines Corporation (600511) currently trades at ¥27.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥58.22, implying the stock looks roughly 111.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China National Medicines Corporation generated revenue of 53.3B CNY at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥43.66 (bear case) to ¥72.07 (bull case); at ¥27.53, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 111%, 600511 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥79.76) versus Dividend Discount (¥13.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China National Medicines Corporation Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in pharmaceutical equipment circulation in China.
Full company description
China National Medicines Corporation Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in pharmaceutical equipment circulation in China. The company also manufactures and sells new drugs; sells Chinese patent medicines drug sales and western medicines, and medical equipment; and offers dental drug and equipment, warehousing, logistics and import and export agency services. It also serves hospitals, retail pharmacies, and medical institutions. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China. China National Medicines Corporation Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China National Medicines Corporation reported revenue of ¥52.5B in FY2025 versus ¥46.5B in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.0B in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Medical Distribution · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McKesson Corporation MCK | $805.96 | $819.31 | +2% |
| Cencora, Inc COR | $303.44 | $175.74 | -42% |
| Cardinal Health, Inc CAH | $224.94 | $141.77 | -37% |
| Henry Schein, Inc HSIC | $87.82 | $74.67 | -15% |
| Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 | ¥16.70 | ¥33.96 | +103% |
| Sinopharm Group 1099 | HK$16.74 | HK$61.33 | +266% |
| Galenica AG GALE | CHF 87.05 | CHF 61.79 | -29% |
| Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 | ¥21.50 | ¥28.65 | +33% |
| Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 | ¥4.99 | ¥9.84 | +97% |
| Asker Healthcare Group ASKER | kr 79.45 | kr 25.69 | -68% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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