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Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (600332) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 34.8B CNY

GB Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 · SHG
Price¥21.50
Fair Value¥28.65
Upside+33.3%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.97% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥22.62 – ¥35.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥30.70 to ¥28.65 (−6.7%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥22.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥35.92 ¥19.77 Fair Value ¥28.65 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥19.77 – ¥35.92 · fair‑value band ¥22.62 – ¥35.14 · the ¥21.50 price screens below the ¥28.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (600332) currently trades at ¥21.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥28.65, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings generated revenue of 78.5B CNY at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. Net debt stands at 5.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥22.62 (bear case) to ¥35.14 (bull case); at ¥21.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 33%, 600332 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥22.39 ¥23.99 ¥26.82 76
ROIC Compounder ¥25.12 ¥29.26 ¥35.36 72
Gordon GGM ¥8.49 ¥17.66 ¥28.02 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥33.64 ¥55.25 ¥93.64 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥14.43 ¥70.50 ¥97.15 54
Lynch FV ¥18.92 ¥27.03 ¥35.14 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥18.92 ¥27.03 ¥35.14 46
EPV ¥25.12 ¥27.91 ¥30.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.49 ¥17.66 ¥28.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.49 ¥14.89 ¥18.54 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥35.01 ¥46.68 ¥58.35 63
P/S Multiple ¥27.05 ¥36.07 ¥45.09 58
P/B Multiple ¥27.05 ¥36.07 ¥45.09 55
EV/EBIT ¥36.50 ¥45.88 ¥55.25 53
EV/EBITDA ¥38.67 ¥48.78 ¥58.88 54
EV/Revenue ¥28.45 ¥37.05 ¥45.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥13.44 ¥18.01 ¥26.88 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥22.39 ¥23.99 ¥26.82 76
ROIC Compounder ¥25.12 ¥29.26 ¥35.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥30.03 ¥42.89 ¥55.76 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥55.25) versus Dividend Discount (¥14.89). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 78.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 7.4%
Free cash flow −980M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 12.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.81
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.1%
Net debt 5.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited engages in the pharmaceutical and healthcare industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through Modern Chinese Medicine Business, Chemical Pharmaceutical Technology Business, Natural Beverage Business, Pharmaceutical Commercial Business, and Other segments.

Full company description

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited engages in the pharmaceutical and healthcare industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through Modern Chinese Medicine Business, Chemical Pharmaceutical Technology Business, Natural Beverage Business, Pharmaceutical Commercial Business, and Other segments. It is involved in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of chemical drugs, chemical raw materials, and chemical raw material intermediates; and research, development, production, and sale of health products; and wholesale, retail, and import export of Western medicines, traditional Chinese medicines, and medical devices. The company also offers bio-innovation, consumer health, and medical services; Xiaochaihu granules; Qingkailing and Baoji, Xia Sangju product series; Angong Niuhuang, Zishen Yutai, Xiaoke, Huatuo Zaizao, Zhuangyao Jianshen, and Shujin Jianyao pills; compound Danshen and Naoxinqing tablet series; Banlangen, Compound Banlangen, and Dashen Kouyanqing granules series; and honey-processed Chuanbei and Shedan Chuanbei loquat syrup. In addition, it provides antibacterial and anti-inflammatory drugs, andrological drugs, and analgesics and antipyretics; Wanglaoji herbal tea, Ciningji series, Lixiaoji series, and Yerou coconut milk; and advertising services. Further, the company engages in the medical research industry; technology services industry; leasing and business services; and scientific research and technical services industry. It operates through hospitals, community healthcare facilities, and retail outlets through distributors and agents. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Pharmaceutical Company Limited and changed its name to Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited in August 2013. Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings reported revenue of ¥77.4B in FY2025 versus ¥69.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.0B in FY2025, compounding −5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
77.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+12.2%
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY21 ¥69.0B
FY22 ¥70.8B
FY23 ¥75.5B
FY24 ¥75.0B
FY25 ¥77.4B
Net income −5.4%/yr
FY21 ¥3.7B
FY22 ¥4.0B
FY23 ¥4.1B
FY24 ¥2.8B
FY25 ¥3.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600332

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 81 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +33% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 78 · sector 32
FUTURE 18 · sector 14
PAST 30 · sector 21
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 79 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $805.96 $819.31 +2%
Cencora, Inc COR $303.44 $175.74 -42%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $224.94 $141.77 -37%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $87.82 $74.67 -15%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.70 ¥33.96 +103%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.74 HK$61.33 +266%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 87.05 CHF 61.79 -29%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥4.99 ¥9.84 +97%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 79.45 kr 25.69 -68%
China National Medicines Corporation 600511 ¥27.53 ¥58.22 +111%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (600332) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥28.65 versus a price of ¥21.50, about +33% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600332?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings is ¥28.65 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥21.50.
What is the quality score of 600332?
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (600332)?
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 78.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600332?
The net profit margin of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings pay a dividend?
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.97% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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