Cencora, Inc (COR) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $58.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +6.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($219.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $106.95 – $373.25 · fair‑value band $131.80 – $219.67 · the $325.01 price screens above the $175.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Cencora, Inc (COR) currently trades at $325.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $175.74, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cencora, Inc generated revenue of $329B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 107.1%. Net debt stands at $6.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $131.80 (bear case) to $219.67 (bull case); at $325.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at -46%, COR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($346.97) versus Asset-Based ($5.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cencora, Inc. sources and distributes pharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. The company's U.S.
Full company description
Cencora, Inc. sources and distributes pharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. The company's U.S. Healthcare Solutions segment distributes generic and injectable pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter healthcare products, home healthcare supplies and equipment, and related services to acute care hospitals and health systems, independent and chain retail pharmacies, mail order pharmacies, medical clinics, long-term care and alternate site pharmacies, and other customers; distributes plasma and other blood products, vaccines, and other specialty pharmaceutical products; provides pharmacy management, staffing, and other consulting services; supply management software to retail and institutional healthcare providers; packaging solutions to institutional and retail healthcare providers; clinical trial support, product post-approval, and commercialization support services; data analytics, outcomes research, and other services for biotechnology and pharmaceutical manufacturers; pharmaceuticals, vaccines, parasiticides, diagnostics, micro feed ingredients, and other products to the companion animal and production animal markets; sales force services to manufacturers; and offers other services to physicians who specialize in various disease states, such as oncology, as well as to other healthcare providers, including hospitals and dialysis clinics. Its International Healthcare Solutions segment provides international pharmaceutical wholesale and related service, and global commercialization services; distributes pharmaceuticals, other healthcare products, and related services to pharmacies, doctors, health centers, and hospitals; and offers specialty transportation and logistics services for the biopharmaceutical industry. The company was formerly known as AmerisourceBergen Corporation and changed its name to Cencora, Inc. in August 2023. Cencora, Inc. was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Conshohocken, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cencora, Inc reported revenue of $321B in FY2025 versus $214B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.
COR screens 46% overvalued. Compare with McKesson Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Cencora to Report Q3 Earnings: Is a Beat Likely for the Stock?
- Cencora (COR) Remains Attractive Despite Temporary Headwinds
- Corticeira Amorim S.G.P.S (ENXTLS:COR) Could Be 17% Undervalued Following Weaker Q2 Results
- Countdown to Cencora (COR) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
Peer Group
Medical Distribution · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McKesson Corporation MCK | $805.96 | $819.31 | +2% |
| Cardinal Health, Inc CAH | $224.94 | $141.77 | -37% |
| Henry Schein, Inc HSIC | $87.82 | $74.67 | -15% |
| Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 | ¥16.12 | ¥33.96 | +111% |
| Sinopharm Group 1099 | HK$16.74 | HK$61.33 | +266% |
| Galenica AG GALE | CHF 87.05 | CHF 61.79 | -29% |
| Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 | ¥21.26 | ¥30.70 | +44% |
| Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 | ¥5.07 | ¥9.84 | +94% |
| Asker Healthcare Group ASKER | kr 79.45 | kr 25.69 | -68% |
| China National Medicines Corporation 600511 | ¥27.78 | ¥58.22 | +110% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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